Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37428929›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Speciation across the Earth driven by global cooling in terrestrial orchids.

Jamie B Thompson, Katie E Davis, Harry O Dodd, Matthew A Wills, Nicholas K Priest

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. The multichromosomal structure evolution ofFrontiers in plant science · 2026
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  13. Speciation across the Earth driven by global cooling in terrestrial orchids.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jamie B ThompsonThe Milner Centre for Evolution, Department of Life Sciences, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3784-5261
Katie E DavisDepartment of Biology, University of York, York YO10 5DD, United Kingdom.
Harry O DoddThe Milner Centre for Evolution, Department of Life Sciences, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0832-6449
Matthew A WillsThe Milner Centre for Evolution, Department of Life Sciences, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, United Kingdom.
Nicholas K PriestThe Milner Centre for Evolution, Department of Life Sciences, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8253-2697

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although climate change has been implicated as a major catalyst of diversification, its effects are thought to be inconsistent and much less pervasive than localized climate or the accumulation of species with time. Focused analyses of highly speciose clades are needed in order to disentangle the consequences of climate change, geography, and time. Here, we show that global cooling shapes the biodiversity of terrestrial orchids. Using a phylogeny of 1,475 species of Orchidoideae, the largest terrestrial orchid subfamily, we find that speciation rate is dependent on historic global cooling, not time, tropical distributions, elevation, variation in chromosome number, or other types of historic climate change. Relative to the gradual accumulation of species with time, models specifying speciation driven by historic global cooling are over 700 times more likely. Evidence ratios estimated for 212 other plant and animal groups reveal that terrestrial orchids represent one of the best-supported cases of temperature-spurred speciation yet reported. Employing >2.5 million georeferenced records, we find that global cooling drove contemporaneous diversification in each of the seven major orchid bioregions of the Earth. With current emphasis on understanding and predicting the immediate impacts of global warming, our study provides a clear case study of the long-term impacts of global climate change on biodiversity.

Indexed as

BiodiversityCold TemperatureAnimalsGenetic SpeciationGeographyPhylogenyTemperaturebiodiversitybiogeographyclimate changediversificationmacroevolution

Identifiers

PMID37428929
PMCPMC10629580

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.