Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37421973›Full record

ArticleChest2023

The Thoracic Research Evaluation and Treatment 2.0 Model: A Lung Cancer Prediction Model for Indeterminate Nodules Referred for Specialist Evaluation.

Caroline M Godfrey, Maren E Shipe, Valerie F Welty, Amelia W Maiga, Melinda C Aldrich, Chandler Montgomery, Jerod Crockett, Laszlo T Vaszar, Shawn Regis, James M Isbell and 8 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chest, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Caroline M GodfreyDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Maren E ShipeDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Valerie F WeltyDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Amelia W MaigaDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN; Division of Thoracic Surgery, Veterans Hospital, Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, TN.
Melinda C AldrichDepartment of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Chandler MontgomeryDepartment of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Jerod CrockettDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Laszlo T VaszarDepartment of Pulmonary Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, AZ.
Shawn RegisDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Lahey Hospital and Medical Center, Burlington, MA.
James M IsbellDepartment of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY.
Otis B RickmanDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Rhonda PinkermanDivision of Thoracic Surgery, Veterans Hospital, Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, TN.
Eric S LambrightDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Jonathan C NesbittDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN; Division of Thoracic Surgery, Veterans Hospital, Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, TN.
Fabien MaldonadoDivision of Pulmonary Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Jeffrey D BlumeSchool of Data Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA.
Stephen A DeppenDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Eric L GroganDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN; Division of Thoracic Surgery, Veterans Hospital, Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, TN. Electronic address: eric.grogan@VUMC.org.
Vanderbilt University Medical Center · USVA Tennessee Valley Healthcare System · USLahey Hospital and Medical Center · USMayo Clinic Hospital · USMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USUniversity of Virginia · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
The Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (VICTR)UL1TR000445 · NCATS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BERNARD, GORDON RAPHAEL · 2012 to 2016
$41.4M
Validation of Biomarkers of Risk for the Early Detection of Lung CancerU01CA152662 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI DEPPEN, STEPHEN, GROGAN, ERIC L · 2010 to 2025
$12.8M
Surgical Oncology Training GrantT32CA106183 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI James Richard Goldenring · 2004 to 2026
$6.0M
Learning Health System training program: PROgRESS--Patient/ pRactice Outcomes and Research in Effectiveness and Systems ScienceT32HS026122 · AHRQ · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI GRIJALVA, CARLOS G, ROUMIE, CHRISTIANNE L. · 2018 to 2024
$3.5M
Novel Integrative Approach for the Early Detection of Lung Cancer using Repeated MeasuresR01CA253923 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI LANDMAN, BENNETT A., MALDONADO, FABIEN · 2021 to 2025
$3.4M
Addressing racial disparities in lung cancer screeningR01CA251758 · NCI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI ALDRICH, MELINDA, BLUME, JEFFREY D. · 2021 to 2025
$2.4M
AHRQ HHS T32 HS026122NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000445NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS R01 CA253923NCI NIH HHS T32 CA106183NCI NIH HHS U01 CA152662
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAppropriate risk stratification of indeterminate pulmonary nodules (IPNs) is necessary to direct diagnostic evaluation. Currently available models were developed in populations with lower cancer prevalence than that seen in thoracic surgery and pulmonology clinics and usually do not allow for missing data. We updated and expanded the Thoracic Research Evaluation and Treatment (TREAT) model into a more generalized, robust approach for lung cancer prediction in patients referred for specialty evaluation. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can clinic-level differences in nodule evaluation be incorporated to improve lung cancer prediction accuracy in patients seeking immediate specialty evaluation compared with currently available models? STUDY DESIGN AND

methodsClinical and radiographic data on patients with IPNs from six sites (N = 1,401) were collected retrospectively and divided into groups by clinical setting: pulmonary nodule clinic (n = 374; cancer prevalence, 42%), outpatient thoracic surgery clinic (n = 553; cancer prevalence, 73%), or inpatient surgical resection (n = 474; cancer prevalence, 90%). A new prediction model was developed using a missing data-driven pattern submodel approach. Discrimination and calibration were estimated with cross-validation and were compared with the original TREAT, Mayo Clinic, Herder, and Brock models. Reclassification was assessed with bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index and reclassification plots.

resultsTwo-thirds of patients had missing data; nodule growth and fluorodeoxyglucose-PET scan avidity were missing most frequently. The TREAT version 2.0 mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve across missingness patterns was 0.85 compared with that of the original TREAT (0.80), Herder (0.73), Mayo Clinic (0.72), and Brock (0.68) models with improved calibration. The bias-corrected clinical net reclassification index was 0.23.

interpretationThe TREAT 2.0 model is more accurate and better calibrated for predicting lung cancer in high-risk IPNs than the Mayo, Herder, or Brock models. Nodule calculators such as TREAT 2.0 that account for varied lung cancer prevalence and that consider missing data may provide more accurate risk stratification for patients seeking evaluation at specialty nodule evaluation clinics.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsMultiple Pulmonary NodulesSolitary Pulmonary NoduleHumansLungRetrospective Studieslung cancerlung noduleprediction model

Identifiers

PMID37421973
PMCPMC10635839
OpenAlexW4383100484

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.