Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37414791›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Bias assessment of a test-negative design study of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness used in national policymaking.

Sophie Graham, Elise Tessier, Julia Stowe, Jamie Lopez Bernal, Edward P K Parker, Dorothea Nitsch, Elizabeth Miller, Nick Andrews, Jemma L Walker, Helen I McDonald

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Sophie GrahamLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. sophie.graham@lshtm.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-7770-1863
Elise TessierUK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
Julia StoweUK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
Jamie Lopez BernalUK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
Edward P K ParkerLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5847-109X
Dorothea NitschLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5767-248X
Elizabeth MillerLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Nick AndrewsUK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
Jemma L Walker *London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Helen I McDonald *London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

National test-negative-case-control (TNCC) studies are used to monitor COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in the UK. A questionnaire was sent to participants from the first published TNCC COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness study conducted by the UK Health Security Agency, to assess for potential biases and changes in behaviour related to vaccination. The original study included symptomatic adults aged ≥70 years testing for COVID-19 between 08/12/2020 and 21/02/2021. A questionnaire was sent to cases and controls tested from 1-21 February 2021. In this study, 8648 individuals responded to the questionnaire (36.5% response). Using information from the questionnaire to produce a combined estimate that accounted for all potential biases decreased the original vaccine effectiveness estimate after two doses of BNT162b2 from 88% (95% CI: 79-94%) to 85% (95% CI: 68-94%). Self-reported behaviour demonstrated minimal evidence of riskier behaviour after vaccination. These findings offer reassurance to policy makers and clinicians making decisions based on COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness TNCC studies.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesAdultBiasBNT162 VaccineCOVID-19 TestingHumansVaccine EfficacyBNT162 VaccineCOVID-19 Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID37414791
PMCPMC10325974

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.