ArticleEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin2023
Estimated incubation period distributions of mpox using cases from two international European festivals and outbreaks in a club in Berlin, May to June 2022.
Article in Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Incubation periods and mortality outcomes following rabies virus infection in mesocarnivorous reservoir hosts: implications for experimental design and veterinary policy - a review and meta-analysis.Virology journal · 2025Pooled it
- Decoding mpox: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the transmission and severity parameters of the 2022-2023 global outbreak.BMJ global health · 2025Pooled it
- Skin-to-skin household transmission of mpox from parental wrist lesion to child's gluteal region.BMJ case reports · 2026Article
- Rapid spread of MPXV clade Ib with high genetic relatedness among men who have sex with men, Berlin, Germany, week 50 2025 up to week 10 2026.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026Article
- An Emerging Global Threat After The COVID-19 Pandemic: Monkeypox Similarities and Differences.Polish journal of microbiology · 2026Review
- Behavior change and infection induced immunity led to the decline of the 2022 Mpox outbreak in Berlin.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- Intentions of healthcare seeking and self-isolation for MPOX among men who have sex with men in China: a national cross-sectional study.Emerging microbes & infections · 2024Article
- Mpox and Vaccine Knowledge, Beliefs, and Sources of Trusted Information Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex With Men in the U.S.AJPM focus · 2024Article
- An Overview of Monkey Pox Disease as a Current Important Disease in the World.Archives of Razi Institute · 2024Review
- Best practices for estimating and reporting epidemiological delay distributions of infectious diseases.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Reemergence of Clade IIb-Associated Mpox, Germany, July-December 2023.Emerging infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Incubation Period and Serial Interval of Mpox in 2022 Global Outbreak Compared with Historical Estimates.Emerging infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Factors potentially contributing to the decline of the mpox outbreak in the Netherlands, 2022 and 2023.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024Observational
- Epidemiology and characteristics of identified early mpox cases in Guangdong Province, China: Implications for prevention and control.Biosafety and health · 2023Article
- Monkeypox presenting as a chancre-like rash: A case report.World journal of clinical cases · 2023Article
- Letter to the editor: Bias in the vaccine effectiveness estimates of one-dose post-exposure prophylaxis against mpox.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
28 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
BackgroundSince May 2022, an mpox outbreak affecting primarily men who have sex with men (MSM) has occurred in numerous non-endemic countries worldwide. As MSM frequently reported multiple sexual encounters in this outbreak, reliably determining the time of infection is difficult; consequently, estimation of the incubation period is challenging.AimWe aimed to provide valid and precise estimates of the incubation period distribution of mpox by using cases associated with early outbreak settings where infection likely occurred.MethodsColleagues in European countries were invited to provide information on exposure intervals and date of symptom onset for mpox cases who attended a fetish festival in Antwerp, Belgium, a gay pride festival in Gran Canaria, Spain or a particular club in Berlin, Germany, where early mpox outbreaks occurred. Cases of these outbreaks were pooled; doubly censored models using the log-normal, Weibull and Gamma distributions were fitted to estimate the incubation period distribution.ResultsWe included data on 122 laboratory-confirmed cases from 10 European countries. Depending on the distribution used, the median incubation period ranged between 8 and 9 days, with 5th and 95th percentiles ranging from 2 to 3 and from 20 to 23 days, respectively. The shortest interval that included 50% of incubation periods spanned 8 days (4-11 days).ConclusionCurrent public health management of close contacts should consider that in approximately 5% of cases, the incubation period exceeds the commonly used monitoring period of 21 days.
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