Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37409942›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental science & technology2023

Water, Sanitation, and Cholera in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Mustafa Sikder, Aniruddha Deshpande, Sonia T Hegde, Espoir Bwenge Malembaka, Karin Gallandat, Robert C Reiner, Justin Lessler, Elizabeth C Lee, Andrew S Azman

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental science & technology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
5.4field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Plant-based edible vaccines: Can cholera be the case study in Africa?Journal, genetic engineering & biotechnology · 2025
    Review
  5. Cholera in Africa: A Climate Change Crisis.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2025
    Review
  6. Exploring the Impact of Traditional Practices onInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 4 countries.

Mustafa SikderDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-6977-7913
Aniruddha DeshpandeInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98105, United States.
Sonia T HegdeDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-6426-0096
Espoir Bwenge MalembakaDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, United States.
Karin GallandatEnvironmental Health Group, Department for Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, U.K.ORCID 0000-0001-6412-1483
Robert C ReinerDepartment of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98105, United States.
Justin LesslerDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, United States.
Elizabeth C LeeDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, United States.
Andrew S AzmanDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, United States.
Johns Hopkins University · USUniversity of Washington · USUniversity of London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Improvements in water and sanitation should reduce cholera risk though the associations between cholera and specific water and sanitation access measures remain unclear. We estimated the association between eight water and sanitation measures and annual cholera incidence access across sub-Saharan Africa (2010-2016) for data aggregated at the country and district levels. We fit random forest regression and classification models to understand how well these measures combined might be able to predict cholera incidence rates and identify high cholera incidence areas. Across spatial scales, piped or "other improved" water access was inversely associated with cholera incidence. Access to piped water, septic or sewer sanitation, and septic, sewer, or "other improved" sanitation were associated with decreased district-level cholera incidence. The classification model had moderate performance in identifying high cholera incidence areas (cross-validated-AUC 0.81, 95% CI 0.78-0.83) with high negative predictive values (93-100%) indicating the utility of water and sanitation measures for screening out areas that are unlikely to be at high cholera risk. While comprehensive cholera risk assessments must incorporate other data sources (e.g., historical incidence), our results suggest that water and sanitation measures could alone be useful in narrowing the geographic focus for detailed risk assessments.

Indexed as

CholeraWaterAfrica South of the SaharaHumansSanitationWater SupplyWatergeographic classificationinfrastructure accesspopulation-level analysisrandom forestrisk analysis

Identifiers

PMID37409942
PMCPMC10357557
OpenAlexW4383302105

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.