Comparative analysis of machine learning approaches for predicting respiratory virus infection and symptom severity.

Respiratory diseases are among the major health problems causing a burden on hospitals. Diagnosis of infection and rapid prediction of severity without time-consuming clinical tests could be beneficial in preventing the spread and progression of the disease, especially in countries where health systems remain incapable. Personalized medicine studies involving statistics and computer technologies could help to address this need. In addition to individual studies, competitions are also held such as Dialogue for Reverse Engineering Assessment and Methods (DREAM) challenge which is a community-driven organization with a mission to research biology, bioinformatics, and biomedicine. One of these competitions was the Respiratory Viral DREAM Challenge, which aimed to develop early predictive biomarkers for respiratory virus infections. These efforts are promising, however, the prediction performance of the computational methods developed for detecting respiratory diseases still has room for improvement. In this study, we focused on improving the performance of predicting the infection and symptom severity of individuals infected with various respiratory viruses using gene expression data collected before and after exposure. The publicly available gene expression dataset in the Gene Expression Omnibus, named GSE73072, containing samples exposed to four respiratory viruses (H1N1, H3N2, human rhinovirus (HRV), and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)) was used as input data. Various preprocessing methods and machine learning algorithms were implemented and compared to achieve the best prediction performance. The experimental results showed that the proposed approaches obtained a prediction performance of 0.9746 area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) for infection (