Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37397360›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2023

The epidemic of acute lymphoid leukemia in China: current trends and future prediction.

Wenxuan Zhu, Shixuan Liu, Ying Shi, Qingyu Tang, Jianzhong Sun, Ruhai Bai, Zhonghe Sun, Zhaoqing Du

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Efficacy of physical exercise intervention on children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia during treatment and rehabilitation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Leukemia epidemiology in China: Burden, trends, and determinants in the 21st century.Chinese journal of cancer research = Chung-kuo yen cheng yen chiu · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Biology and Therapeutic Properties of Mesenchymal Stem Cells in Leukemia.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Wenxuan ZhuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Shixuan LiuHealth Science Center, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Ying ShiDepartment of Chronic Disease, Xi'an Weiyang District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Qingyu TangHealth Science Center, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Jianzhong SunHealth Science Center, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Ruhai BaiSchool of Public Affairs, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Zhonghe SunNanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Zhaoqing DuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: China has experienced one of the fastest increases in the incidence of acute lymphoid leukemia (ALL). The aim of this study was to assess the long-term trends of the incidence and mortality of ALL in mainland China between 1990 and 2019 and to project these trends through 2028. Methods: Data on ALL were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019; population data were extracted from World Population Prospects 2019. An age-period-cohort framework was used in the analysis. Results: The net drift for the incidence of ALL was 7.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.1%, 7.8%) per year in women and 7.1% (95% CI: 6.7%, 7.6%) in men, and local drift was found to be higher than 0 in every studied age group (p<0.05). The net drift for mortality was 1.2% (95% CI: 1.0%, 1.5%) in women and 2.0% (95% CI: 1.7%, 2.3%) in men. Local drift was lower than 0 in boys aged 0-4 years and girls aged 0-9 years and higher than 0 in men aged 10-84 years and women aged 15-84 years. The estimated period relative risks (RRs) for both incidence and mortality showed increasing trends in the recent period. The cohort RRs for incidence showed increasing trends in both sexes; however, the cohort RR for mortality was decreased in the recent birth cohort (women born after 1988-1992 and men born after 2003-2007). Compared with that in 2019, the incidence of ALL in 2028 is projected to increase by 64.1% in men and 75.0% in women, and the mortality is predicted to decrease by 11.1% in men and 14.3% in women. The proportion of older adult/adults individuals with incident ALL and ALL-related death was projected to increase. Conclusions: Over the last three decades, the incidence and mortality rates of ALL have generally increased. It is projected that the incidence rate of ALL in mainland China will continue to increase in the future, but the associated mortality rate will decline. The proportion of older adult/adults individuals with incident ALL and ALL-related death was projected to increase gradually among both sexes. More efforts are needed, especially for older adult/adults individuals.

Indexed as

acute lymphoid leukemiaage-period-cohort effectincidenceleukemiamortalityprojection

Identifiers

PMID37397360
PMCPMC10313194

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.