Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37393498›Full record

ArticleJournal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD2023

Sixteen-Year Longitudinal Evaluation of Blood-Based DNA Methylation Biomarkers for Early Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease.

Fernanda Schäfer Hackenhaar, Maria Josefsson, Annelie Nordin Adolfsson, Mattias Landfors, Karolina Kauppi, Tenielle Porter, Lidija Milicic, Simon M Laws, Magnus Hultdin, Rolf Adolfsson and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Blood DNA methylation signature for incident dementia: Evidence from longitudinal cohorts.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Blood-based multivariate methylation risk score for cognitive impairment and dementia.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Fernanda Schäfer HackenhaarDepartment of Integrative Medical Biology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Maria JosefssonUmeå Center for Functional Brain Imaging, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Annelie Nordin AdolfssonDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Mattias LandforsDepartment of Medical Biosciences, Pathology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Karolina KauppiDepartment of Integrative Medical Biology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Tenielle PorterCentre for Precision Health, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, WA, Australia.
Lidija MilicicCentre for Precision Health, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, WA, Australia.
Simon M LawsCentre for Precision Health, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, WA, Australia.
Magnus HultdinDepartment of Medical Biosciences, Pathology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Rolf AdolfssonDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Sofie DegermanDepartment of Medical Biosciences, Pathology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Sara PudasDepartment of Integrative Medical Biology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Australian Imaging Biomarkers and Lifestyle Study

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDNA methylation (DNAm), an epigenetic mark reflecting both inherited and environmental influences, has shown promise for Alzheimer's disease (AD) prediction.

objectiveTesting long-term predictive ability (>15 years) of existing DNAm-based epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) measures and identifying novel early blood-based DNAm AD-prediction biomarkers.

methodsEAA measures calculated from Illumina EPIC data from blood were tested with linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) in a longitudinal case-control sample (50 late-onset AD cases; 51 matched controls) with prospective data up to 16 years before clinical onset, and post-onset follow-up. Novel DNAm biomarkers were generated with epigenome-wide LMMs, and Sparse Partial Least Squares Discriminant Analysis applied at pre- (10-16 years), and post-AD-onset time-points.

resultsEAA did not differentiate cases from controls during the follow-up time (p > 0.05). Three new DNA biomarkers showed in-sample predictive ability on average 8 years pre-onset, after adjustment for age, sex, and white blood cell proportions (p-values: 0.022-<0.00001). Our longitudinally-derived panel replicated nominally (p = 0.012) in an external cohort (n = 146 cases, 324 controls). However, its effect size and discriminatory accuracy were limited compared to APOEɛ4-carriership (OR = 1.38 per 1 SD DNAm score increase versus OR = 13.58 for ɛ4-allele carriage; AUCs = 77.2% versus 87.0%). Literature review showed low overlap (n = 4) across 3275 AD-associated CpGs from 8 published studies, and no overlap with our identified CpGs.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseDNA MethylationBiomarkersEpigenesis, GeneticFemaleHumansMaleProspective StudiesBiomarkersAlzheimer’s diseasebiomarkersDNA methylationepigenomicslongitudinal studies

Identifiers

PMID37393498
PMCPMC10473121

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.