Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37388311›Full record

ArticleRoyal Society open science2023

Characteristic features of statistical models and machine learning methods derived from pest and disease monitoring datasets.

Shigeki Kishi, Jianqiang Sun, Akira Kawaguchi, Sunao Ochi, Megumi Yoshida, Takehiko Yamanaka

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Royal Society open science, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Shigeki KishiResearch Center for Agricultural Information and Technology, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization 105-0003, 2-14-1 Kowa Nishi-Shimbashi Building, Nishi-Shimbashi, Minato, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7871-4746
Jianqiang SunResearch Center for Agricultural Information and Technology, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization 105-0003, 2-14-1 Kowa Nishi-Shimbashi Building, Nishi-Shimbashi, Minato, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-3438-3199
Akira KawaguchiResearch Center for Agricultural Information and Technology, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization 105-0003, 2-14-1 Kowa Nishi-Shimbashi Building, Nishi-Shimbashi, Minato, Tokyo, Japan.
Sunao OchiResearch Center for Agricultural Information and Technology, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization 105-0003, 2-14-1 Kowa Nishi-Shimbashi Building, Nishi-Shimbashi, Minato, Tokyo, Japan.
Megumi YoshidaResearch Center for Agricultural Information and Technology, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization 105-0003, 2-14-1 Kowa Nishi-Shimbashi Building, Nishi-Shimbashi, Minato, Tokyo, Japan.
Takehiko YamanakaResearch Center for Agricultural Information and Technology, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization 105-0003, 2-14-1 Kowa Nishi-Shimbashi Building, Nishi-Shimbashi, Minato, Tokyo, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

While many studies have used traditional statistical methods when analysing monitoring data to predict future population dynamics of crop pests and diseases, increasing studies have used machine learning methods. The characteristic features of these methods have not been fully elucidated and arranged. We compared the prediction performance between two statistical and seven machine learning methods using 203 monitoring datasets recorded over several decades on four major crops in Japan and meteorological and geographical information as the explanatory variables. The decision tree and random forest of machine learning were found to be most efficient, while regression models of statistical and machine learning methods were relatively inferior. The best two methods were better for biased and scarce data, while the statistical Bayesian model was better for larger dataset sizes. Therefore, researchers should consider data characteristics when selecting the most appropriate method.

Indexed as

crop diseasecrop pestmachine learningstatistical model

Identifiers

PMID37388311
PMCPMC10300670

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.