ArticleNature communications2023
Climate-driven changes in the predictability of seasonal precipitation.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed, 45 citations in OpenAlex.
- ENSO-induced precipitation seasonality in the Chinese loess plateau during 1767-2050 CE.Fundamental research · 2026Article
- Weather forecasts become more important for reducing mortality as the climate warms.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Selective reuse of prior ensemble data improves the latest air temperature forecast over North America.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Article
- Ecological Niche Modeling of Three Fangfeng Species Under Present and Future Climate Scenarios.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- An interpretable machine learning model for seasonal precipitation forecasting.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- WorldSeasons: a seasonal classification system interpolating biome classifications within the year for better temporal aggregation in climate science.Scientific data · 2024Article
- Potentiality of Sustainable Maize Production under Rainfed Conditions in the Tropics by Triggering Agro-Physio-Biochemical Traits Ascertained from a Greenhouse.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
8 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Climate-driven changes in precipitation amounts and their seasonal variability are expected in many continental-scale regions during the remainder of the 21st century. However, much less is known about future changes in the predictability of seasonal precipitation, an important earth system property relevant for climate adaptation. Here, on the basis of CMIP6 models that capture the present-day teleconnections between seasonal precipitation and previous-season sea surface temperature (SST), we show that climate change is expected to alter the SST-precipitation relationships and thus our ability to predict seasonal precipitation by 2100. Specifically, in the tropics, seasonal precipitation predictability from SSTs is projected to increase throughout the year, except the northern Amazonia during boreal winter. Concurrently, in the extra-tropics predictability is likely to increase in central Asia during boreal spring and winter. The altered predictability, together with enhanced interannual variability of seasonal precipitation, poses new opportunities and challenges for regional water management.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.