ArticleNature communications2023
Plant traits poorly predict winner and loser shrub species in a warming tundra biome.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Selection for fewer, water- and carbon-conservative needles in black spruce trees under warm, dry climates.Annals of botany · 2026Article
- Can Functional Traits Explain Recent Changes in Abundance of Alpine Plant Species?Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Morphological and physiological responses to aridity in narrowly- and widely-distributed plant species in drylands.Science China. Life sciences · 2025Article
- Borealisation of Plant Communities in the Arctic Is Driven by Boreal-Tundra Species.Ecology letters · 2025Review
- Contrasting stability of fungal and bacterial communities during long-term decomposition of fungal necromass in Arctic tundra.Environmental microbiome · 2025Article
- Article
- Whole-plant trait networks reveal elevational optimization of resource strategies: integration drives distribution in woody saplings.Frontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Plant traits and associated data from a warming experiment, a seabird colony, and along elevation in Svalbard.Scientific data · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
41 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change is leading to species redistributions. In the tundra biome, shrubs are generally expanding, but not all tundra shrub species will benefit from warming. Winner and loser species, and the characteristics that may determine success or failure, have not yet been fully identified. Here, we investigate whether past abundance changes, current range sizes and projected range shifts derived from species distribution models are related to plant trait values and intraspecific trait variation. We combined 17,921 trait records with observed past and modelled future distributions from 62 tundra shrub species across three continents. We found that species with greater variation in seed mass and specific leaf area had larger projected range shifts, and projected winner species had greater seed mass values. However, trait values and variation were not consistently related to current and projected ranges, nor to past abundance change. Overall, our findings indicate that abundance change and range shifts will not lead to directional modifications in shrub trait composition, since winner and loser species share relatively similar trait spaces.
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