Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37379061›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2023

Correlation Between Opioid Drug Prescription and Opioid-Related Mortality in Spain as a Surveillance Tool: Ecological Study.

Alejandro Salazar, Soledad Moreno-Pulido, Pablo Prego-Meleiro, Jesús Henares-Montiel, José Pulido, Marta Donat, Gabriel Sotres-Fernandez, Luis Sordo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Alejandro SalazarObservatory of Pain, University of Cádiz, Cádiz, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-9567-462X
Soledad Moreno-PulidoDepartment of Mathematics, University of Cádiz, Puerto Real, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-4537-9929
Pablo Prego-MeleiroDepartment of Public Health and Maternal-Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8242-0361
Jesús Henares-MontielCenter for Biomedical Research in Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBER), Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-5699-7175
José PulidoDepartment of Public Health and Maternal-Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-8487-7384
Marta DonatNational School of Health, Salud Carlos III Health Institute, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-6323-2779
Gabriel Sotres-FernandezOncology Department, Hospital Quirón Salud, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7432-5305
Luis SordoDepartment of Public Health and Maternal-Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1760-9472
Universidad Complutense de Madrid · ESUniversidad de Cádiz · ESCentre for Biomedical Network Research on Rare Diseases · ESHospital Universitario Quirónsalud Madrid · ESInstituto de Salud Carlos III · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOpioid drug prescription (ODP) and opioid-related mortality (ORM) have increased in Spain. However, their relationship is complex, as ORM is registered without considering the type of opioid (legal or illegal).

objectiveThis ecological study aimed to examine the correlation between ODP and ORM in Spain and discuss their usefulness as a surveillance tool.

methodsThis was an ecological descriptive study using retrospective annual data (2000-2019) from the Spanish general population. Data were collected from people of all ages. Information on ODP was obtained from the Spanish Medicines Agency in daily doses per 1000 inhabitants per day (DHD) for total ODP, total ODP excluding those with better safety protocols (codeine and tramadol), and each opioid drug separately. Rates of ORM (per 1,000,000 inhabitants) were calculated based on deaths registered (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision codes) as opioid poisoning by the National Statistics Institute, derived from the drug data recorded by medical examiners in death certificates. Opioid-related deaths were considered to be those that indicated opioid consumption (accidental, infringed, or self-inflicted) as the main cause of death: death due to accidental poisoning (X40-X44), intentional self-inflicted poisoning (X60-X64), drug-induced aggression (X85), and poisoning of undetermined intention (Y10-Y14). A descriptive analysis was carried out, and correlations between the annual rates of ORM and DHD of the prescribed opioid drugs globally, excluding medications of the least potential risk of overdose and lowest treatment tier, were analyzed using Pearson linear correlation coefficient. Their temporal evolution was analyzed using cross-correlations with 24 lags and the cross-correlation function. The analyses were carried out using Stata and StatGraphics Centurion 19.

resultsThe rate of ORM (2000-2019) ranged between 14 and 23 deaths per 1,000,000 inhabitants, with a minimum in 2006 and an increasing trend starting in 2010. The ODP ranged between 1.51 to 19.94 DHD. The rates of ORM were directly correlated with the DHD of total ODP (r=0.597; P=.006), total ODP without codeine and tramadol (r=0.934; P<.001), and every prescribed opioid except buprenorphine (P=.47). In the time analysis, correlations between DHD and ORM were observed in the same year, although not statistically significant (all P≥.05).

conclusionsThere is a correlation between greater availability of prescribed opioid drugs and an increase in opioid-related deaths. The correlation between ODP and ORM may be a useful tool in monitoring legal opiates and possible disturbances in the illegal market. The role of tramadol (an easily prescribed opioid) is important in this correlation, as is that of fentanyl (the strongest opioid). Measures stronger than recommendations need to be taken to reduce off-label prescribing. This study shows that not only is opioid use directly related to the prescribing of opioid drugs above what is desirable but also an increase in deaths.

Indexed as

Opiate OverdoseOpioid-Related DisordersAnalgesics, OpioidDrug PrescriptionsFentanylHumansSpainTramadolAnalgesics, OpioidFentanylTramadoldeathdrug overdoseecological studyfentanylmortalityopioidopioid-related deathsoverdosesubstance abusesubstance misusesubstance usetramadol

Identifiers

PMID37379061
PMCPMC10365608
OpenAlexW4378470496

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.