Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37378681›Full record

ArticleKnee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA2023

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting the risk of immediate postoperative deep vein thrombosis after open wedge high tibial osteotomy.

Haichuan Guo, Tianyu Wang, Chengsi Li, Jiahao Yu, Ruoxuan Zhu, Maolin Wang, Yanbin Zhu, Juan Wang

Abstract readValidation Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Haichuan GuoDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Tianyu WangDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Chengsi LiDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Jiahao YuDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Ruoxuan ZhuDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Maolin WangDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
Yanbin ZhuDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China. zhuyanbin111@126.com.
Juan WangDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, The 3rd Hospital of Hebei Medical University, NO.139 Ziqiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, People's Republic of China. wangj_heb3y@163.com.
Hebei Medical University · CNHospital of Hebei Province · CN

Funding

Hebei Department of Science and Technology High-Level Talent Team Construction Project No. 225A7703DHebei Provincial Key Research and Development Program No. 192777113D
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study aimed to identify independent risk factors for immediate postoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with open wedge high tibial osteotomy (OWHTO) and to develop and validate a predictive nomogram.

methodsPatients who underwent OWHTO for knee osteoarthritis (KOA) from June 2017 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Baseline data and laboratory test results were collected, and the occurrence of DVT in the immediate postoperative period was regarded as the study outcome event. Multivariable logistic regression identified independent risk factors associated with a higher incidence of immediate postoperative DVT. The predictive nomogram was constructed based on the analysis results. The stability of the model was further assessed in this study using patients from January to September 2022 as an external validation set.

results741 patients were enrolled in the study, of which 547 were used in the training cohort and the other 194 for the validation cohort. Multivariate analysis revealed a higher Kellgren-Lawrence (K-L) grade (III vs. I-II OR 3.09, 95% CI 0.93-10.23. IV vs. I-II OR 5.23, 95% CI 1.27-21.48.), platelet to hemoglobin ratio (PHR) > 2.25 (OR 6.10, 95% CI 2.43-15.33), Low levels of albumin (ALB) (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.70-0.90), LDL-C > 3.40 (OR 3.06, 95% CI 1.22-7.65), D-dimer > 1.26 (OR 2.83, 95% CI 1.16-6.87) and BMI ≥ 28 (OR 2.57, 95% CI 1.02-6.50) were the independent risk factors of immediate postoperative DVT. The concordance index (C-index) and Brier score of the nomogram were 0.832 and 0.036 in the training set, and the corrected values after internal validation were 0.795 and 0.038, respectively. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the calibration curve, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and the decision curve analysis (DCA) performed well in both the training and validation cohorts.

conclusionThis study developed a personalized predictive nomogram with six predictors, which allows surgeons to stratify risk and recommended immediate ultrasound scans for patients with any of these factors. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

Indexed as

NomogramsOsteoarthritis, KneeOsteotomyPostoperative ComplicationsTibiaVenous ThrombosisAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsDVTKnee osteoarthritisNomogramOpen wedge high tibial osteotomyPrediction modelRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID37378681
OpenAlexW4382344144

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.