Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37377298›Full record

ArticleCadernos de saude publica2023

Spatio-temporal GAMLSS modeling of the incidence of schistosomiasis in the central region of the State of Minas Gerais, Brazil.

Denismar Alves Nogueira, Thelma Sáfadi, Renato Ribeiro de Lima, Angélica Sousa da Mata, Miriam Monteiro de Castro Graciano, Joziana Muniz de Paiva Barçante, Thales Augusto Barçante, Stela Márcia Pereira Dourado

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cadernos de saude publica, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Denismar Alves NogueiraUniversidade Federal de Alfenas, Alfenas, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0003-2285-8764
Thelma SáfadiUniversidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0002-4918-300X
Renato Ribeiro de LimaUniversidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0003-4607-4964
Angélica Sousa da MataUniversidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0002-3892-5274
Miriam Monteiro de Castro GracianoUniversidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0003-2764-6891
Joziana Muniz de Paiva BarçanteUniversidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0002-7963-5775
Thales Augusto BarçanteUniversidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0002-2506-4065
Stela Márcia Pereira DouradoUniversidade Federal de Lavras, Lavras, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0001-7072-175X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In Brazil, millions of people live in areas with risk of schistosomiasis, a neglected chronic disease with high morbidity. The Schistosoma mansoni helminth is present in all macroregions of Brazil, including the State of Minas Gerais, one of the most endemic states. For this reason, the identification of potential foci is essential to support educational and prophylactic public policies to control this disease. This study aims to model schistosomiasis data based on spatial and temporal aspects and assess the importance of some exogenous socioeconomic variables and the presence of the main Biomphalaria species. Considering that, when working with incident cases, a discrete count variable requires an appropriate modeling, the GAMLSS modeling was chosen since it jointly considers a more appropriate distribution for the response variable due to zero inflation and spatial heteroscedasticity. Several municipalities presented high incidence values from 2010 to 2012, and a downward trend was observed until 2020. We also noticed that the distribution of incidence behaves differently in space and time. Municipalities with dams presented risk 2.25 times higher than municipalities without dams. The presence of B. glabrata was associated with the risk of schistosomiasis. On the other hand, the presence of B. straminea represented a lower risk of the disease. Thus, the control and monitoring of B. glabrata snails is essential to control and eliminate schistosomiasis; and the GAMLSS model was effective in the treatment and modeling of spatio-temporal data.

Indexed as

BiomphalariaSchistosomiasisSchistosomiasis mansoniAnimalsBrazilDisease VectorsHumansIncidenceSchistosoma mansoni

Identifiers

PMID37377298
PMCPMC10494687

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.