Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37365920›Full record

Observational studyAnnals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England2024

Trends in incidence and average waiting time for arthroplasty from 1998-2021: an observational study of 282,367 patients from the Scottish arthroplasty project.

M Jabbal, J Burt, J Clarke, M Moran, P Walmsley, P J Jenkins

Open access · greenAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Annals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The silver tsunami and the elective arthroplasty crisis: How geriatric trauma overruns public surgical capacity.Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. 2050: An Arthroplasty Odyssey.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

M JabbalRoyal Infirmary of Edinburgh, UK.
J BurtGolden Jubilee National Hospital, UK.
J ClarkeGolden Jubilee National Hospital, UK.
M MoranRoyal Infirmary of Edinburgh, UK.
P WalmsleyVictoria Hospital Kirkcaldy, UK.
P J JenkinsGlasgow Royal Infirmary, UK.
Edinburgh Royal Infirmary · GBGolden Jubilee National Hospital · GBGlasgow Royal Infirmary · GBVictoria Hospital · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCurrent waiting times for arthroplasty are reported as being the worst on record. This is a combination of increasing demand, the COVID-19 pandemic and longer standing shortage of capacity. The Scottish Arthroplasty Project (SAP) is a National Audit that analyses all joint replacements undertaken in the Scottish NHS and Independent Sector. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term trend in provision and waiting time for lower limb joint replacement surgery.

methodsAll total hip replacements (THR) and total knee replacements (TKR) undertaken in NHS Scotland from 1998 to 2021 were identified. Waiting times data were analysed each year to determine the minimum, maximum, median, mean and standard deviation.

resultsIn 1998, there were 4,224 THR and 2,898 TKR with mean (range, SD) waiting time of 159.5 days (1-1,685, 119.8) and 182.9 days (1-1,946, 130.1). The minimum waiting times were both in 2013 for 7,612 THR - 78.8 days (0-539, 46) and 7,146 TKR - 79.1 days (0-489, 43.7). The maximum waiting times recorded were in 2021 with 4,070 THR waiting 283.7 days (0-945, 215) and 3,153 TKR waiting 316.8 days (4-1,064, 217).

conclusionsThis is the first robust large-scale national dataset showing trends in incidence and waiting time for THR and TKR over two decades. There was an expansion of activity with a reduction in waiting time, which peaked in 2013, followed by an increase in waiting time with a plateau and modest decline in the number of procedures.

Indexed as

Arthroplasty, Replacement, HipArthroplasty, Replacement, KneeHumansIncidencePandemicsScotlandWaiting ListsHip replacement arthroplastyKnee replacement arthroplastyWaiting listWaiting lists

Identifiers

PMID37365920
PMCPMC10911452
OpenAlexW4382182796

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.