Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37364982›Full record

ArticleGut2023

Persistent villous atrophy predicts development of complications and mortality in adult patients with coeliac disease: a multicentre longitudinal cohort study and development of a score to identify high-risk patients.

Annalisa Schiepatti, Stiliano Maimaris, Suneil A Raju, Olivia L Green, Giulia Mantica, Amelie Therrien, David Flores-Marin, Justin Linden, Fernando Fernández-Bañares, Maria Esteve and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
16.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 59 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Coeliac disease: complications and comorbidities.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2025
    Review
  16. Article
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  18. [Celiac disease: an update].Innere Medizin (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Annalisa SchiepattiDepartment of Internal Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy annalisa.schiepatti01@universitadipavia.it.ORCID 0000-0002-8493-7698
Stiliano MaimarisDepartment of Internal Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Suneil A RajuAcademic Unit of Gastroenterology, Royal Hallamshire Hospital, Sheffield, UK.
Olivia L GreenAcademic Unit of Gastroenterology, Royal Hallamshire Hospital, Sheffield, UK.
Giulia ManticaDepartment of Internal Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Amelie TherrienCeliac Center, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
David Flores-MarinCeliac Center, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Justin LindenCeliac Center, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Fernando Fernández-BañaresDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital Universitari Mutua Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-1489-504X
Maria EsteveDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital Universitari Mutua Terrassa, Terrassa, Spain.
Daniel LefflerCeliac Center, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Federico BiagiDepartment of Internal Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
David S SandersAcademic Unit of Gastroenterology, Royal Hallamshire Hospital, Sheffield, UK.
Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USUniversity of Pavia · ITRoyal Hallamshire Hospital · GBMútua Terrassa · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivePersistent villous atrophy (pVA) in coeliac disease (CD) despite a gluten-free diet (GFD) has unclear meaning. We aimed to (i) study the relationship between pVA and long-term outcomes and (ii) develop a score to identify patients at risk of pVA.

designThis is a multicentre retrospective-prospective study consisting of a study cohort (cohort 1) and an external validation cohort (cohort 2) of patients with biopsy-proven CD diagnosed between 2000 and 2021. Cohort 1 was used to (i) compare long-term outcomes between patients with and without pVA (Marsh ≥3a) at follow-up biopsy and (ii) to develop a score to evaluate the risk of pVA, which was validated in cohort 2.

resultsOf 2211 patients, 694 (31%) underwent follow-up duodenal biopsy and were included in the study cohort (491F, 44±16 years). 157/694 (23%) had pVA. Risk of complications (HR 9.53, 95% CI 4.77 to 19.04, p<0.001) and mortality (HR 2.93, 95% CI 1.43 to 6.02, p<0.01) were increased in patients with pVA. A 5-point score was developed and externally validated (receiver operating characteristic area under the curve 0.78, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.89) to stratify patients by risk of pVA: low (0-1 points, 5% pVA), intermediate (2 points, 16% pVA) and high (3-5 points, 73% pVA). Predictors for pVA used in the score were age at diagnosis ≥45 years (OR 2.01, 95% CI 1.21 to 3.34, p<0.01), classical pattern of CD (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.28 to 3.58, p<0.01), lack of clinical response to GFD (OR 2.40, 95% CI 1.43 to 4.01, p<0.001) and poor GFD adherence (OR 48.9, 95% CI 26.1 to 91.8, p<0.001).

conclusionsRisk of complications and mortality were increased in patients with pVA. We developed a score to identify patients at risk of pVA and in need of histological reassessment and closer follow-up.

Indexed as

Celiac DiseaseAdultAtrophyBiopsyDiet, Gluten-FreeHumansIntestinal MucosaLongitudinal StudiesMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRetrospective Studiesceliac diseaseepidemiologygluten free dietmalabsorption

Identifiers

PMID37364982
PMCPMC10579485
OpenAlexW4382050233

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.