Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37363799›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2023

Vaccine-induced correlate of protection against fatal COVID-19 in older and frail adults during waves of neutralization-resistant variants of concern: an observational study.

Linnea Vikström, Peter Fjällström, Yong-Dae Gwon, Daniel J Sheward, Julia Wigren-Byström, Magnus Evander, Oscar Bladh, Micael Widerström, Christian Molnar, Gunlög Rasmussen and 12 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
5.4field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Linnea VikströmThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Peter FjällströmThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Yong-Dae GwonThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Daniel J ShewardThe Department of Microbiology, Tumor and Cell Biology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Julia Wigren-ByströmThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Magnus EvanderThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Oscar BladhThe Department of Clinical Sciences, Karolinska Institutet Danderyd Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Micael WiderströmThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Christian MolnarFamiljeläkarna, Stockholm, Sweden.
Gunlög RasmussenSchool of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
Louise BennetDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Clinical Studies Sweden, Forum South, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Mikael ÅbergThe Department of Medical Sciences, Clinical Chemistry and SciLifeLab, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Jonas BjörkThe Division of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Staffan TevellFaculty of Medicine and Health, The Department of Infectious Diseases, Karlstad Hospital and Centre for Clinical Research and Education, Region Värmland, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
Charlotte ThålinThe Department of Clinical Sciences, Karolinska Institutet Danderyd Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Kim BlomThe Swedish Public Health Agency, Stockholm, Sweden.
Jonas KlingströmThe Department of Biomedical Clinical Sciences, Linköpings University, Linköping, Sweden.
Ben MurrellThe Department of Microbiology, Tumor and Cell Biology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden.
Clas AhlmThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Johan NormarkThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Anders F JohanssonThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Mattias N E ForsellThe Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Umeå University · SEKarolinska Institutet · SELund University · SEÖrebro University · SELinköping University · SEPublic Health Agency of Sweden · SEUppsala University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: To inform future preventive measures including repeated vaccinations, we have searched for a clinically useful immune correlate of protection against fatal COVID-19 among nursing homes residents. Methods: We performed repeated capillary blood sampling with analysis of S-binding IgG in an open cohort of nursing home residents in Sweden. We analyzed immunological and registry data from 16 September 2021 to 31 August 2022 with follow-up of deaths to 30 September 2022. The study period included implementation of the 3rd and 4th mRNA monovalent vaccine doses and Omicron virus waves. Findings: A total of 3012 nursing home residents with median age 86 were enrolled. The 3rd mRNA dose elicited a 99-fold relative increase of S-binding IgG in blood and corresponding increase of neutralizing antibodies. The 4th mRNA vaccine dose boosted levels 3.8-fold. Half-life of S-binding IgG was 72 days. A total 528 residents acquired their first SARS-CoV-2 infection after the 3rd or the 4th vaccine dose and the associated 30-day mortality was 9.1%. We found no indication that levels of vaccine-induced antibodies protected against infection with Omicron VOCs. In contrast, the risk of death was inversely correlated to levels of S-directed IgG below the 20th percentile. The death risk plateaued at population average above the lower 35th percentile of S-binding IgG. Interpretation: In the absence of neutralizing antibodies that protect from infection, quantification of S-binding IgG post vaccination may be useful to identify the most vulnerable for fatal COVID-19 among the oldest and frailest. This information is of importance for future strategies to protect vulnerable populations against neutralization resistant variants of concern. Funding: Swedish Research Council, SciLifeLab via Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, VINNOVA. Swedish Healthcare Regions, and Erling Persson Foundation.

Indexed as

Correlate of protectionCOVID-19Immune monitoring of vulnerable populationsLongevity of vaccinationOpen cohort studyVaccinationVulnerable population

Identifiers

PMID37363799
PMCPMC10163377
OpenAlexW4372342846

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.