Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37360006›Full record

ArticleThe American economic review2022

Measuring Racial Discrimination in Bail Decisions.

David Arnold, Will Dobbie, Peter Hull

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American economic review, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Measuring disparate impact in human and machine decisions.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Does AI help humans make better decisions? A statistical evaluation framework for experimental and observational studies.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Building Nondiscriminatory Algorithms in Selected Data.American economic review. Insights · 2025
    Article
  5. The Impact of Incarceration on Employment, Earnings, and Tax Filing.Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Using measures of race to make clinical predictions: Decision making, patient health, and fairness.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

David ArnoldUniversity of California, San Diego.
Will DobbieHarvard Kennedy School and NBER.
Peter HullBrown University and NBER.

Funding

Science/Technical CoreP2CHD041020 · NICHD · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI ZHENCHAO QIAN · 2016 to 2026
$7.6M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041020
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We develop new quasi-experimental tools to measure disparate impact, regardless of its source, in the context of bail decisions. We show that omitted variables bias in pretrial release rate comparisons can be purged by using the quasi-random assignment of judges to estimate average pretrial misconduct risk by race. We find that two-thirds of the release rate disparity between white and Black defendants in New York City is due to the disparate impact of release decisions. We then develop a hierarchical marginal treatment effect model to study the drivers of disparate impact, finding evidence of both racial bias and statistical discrimination.

Indexed as

C26J15K42

Identifiers

PMID37360006
PMCPMC10289801

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.