ArticleFrontiers in immunology2023
Visual disability in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders: prognostic prediction models.
Article in Frontiers in immunology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.
- Exploratory analysis of predictive models in the field of myelitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in immunology · 2025Pooled it
- Review
- The Effectiveness of a Mobile Learning Environment in Improving Psychological Security in Blind Students.Scientifica · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background and objectives: Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) is an autoimmune inflammatory disease of the central nervous system characterized by simultaneous or consecutive episodes of acute optic neuritis and transverse myelitis. Attacks of NMOSD can result in the accrual of severe visual disability over time. This study aimed to develop and validate prognostic models for visual disability risk within 1, 3, and 5 years. Methods: Medical records of NMOSD patients were retrospectively analyzed. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to select predictors of visual disability. Two models predicting the probability of visual disability in 1, 3, and 5 years were developed based on different selections and displayed as nomograms. Risk scores were calculated for every patient, and a cut-off point was obtained to recognize patients at high risk. Results: In total, 161 (25.2%) patients developed visual disabilities during the follow-up period. Four visual disability-related factors were selected using LASSO regression: optic neuritis (ON) onset, higher annual relapse rate (ARR) before maintenance therapy, no maintenance immune suppression therapy (IST), and initial severe attack. Three additional predictors were determined using multivariate Cox regression: male sex, age at first onset, and positive AQP4-IgG serology. Discrimination and calibration were satisfied, with concordance indexes (C-index) close to 0.9 in both models. Decision curve analysis showed good clinical usefulness in both models, and Kaplan-Meier curves showed satisfactory discrimination between patients with high risk and low risk by the cut-off points. Conclusion: This study reported predictors of visual disability and generated nomograms. High-risk patients need more active treatment and management to avoid unfavorable outcomes.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.