Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37346346›Full record

ArticleHeliyon2023

Conflict and exchange rate valuation: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Jianhua Xu, Khalid Khan, Yang Cao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heliyon, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jianhua XuAnyang Institute of Technology Anyang, Henan Province, China.
Khalid KhanCollege of Finance, Qilu University of Technology, Jinan, Shandong, China.
Yang CaoAnyang Institute of Technology Anyang, Henan Province, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Russian-Ukraine conflict is decisive in determining the course of contemporary global politics. The war has a spillover effect, with potentially considerable direct and indirect consequences on economic activity. Therefore, the study evaluates the causal impact of the Russian-Ukraine conflict on the exchange rate of Russia. The results explore that the conflict has a negative effect on the exchange rate and observed rapid depreciation. The outcomes show a rapid divergence from counterfactual predictions, and the actual exchange rate is consistently lower than would have been expected in the absence of conflict. The point-wise causal effect displays an estimate of the exchange rate depreciation following the conflict. In relative terms, the response variable decrease, suggesting that currency depreciation is observed during the intervention period. The counterfactual prediction provides a robust technique for evaluating the size of shocks and can be used as a reference to estimate the genuine impact of the conflict in various ways.

Indexed as

Causal inferenceConflictCounterfactual predictingExchange rateUkraine conflict

Identifiers

PMID37346346
PMCPMC10279779

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.