Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37344123›Full record

ArticleFamily medicine and community health2023

Utility of the New Early Warning Score (NEWS) in combination with the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio for the prediction of prognosis in older patients with pneumonia.

Eiichi Kakehi, Ryo Uehira, Nobuaki Ohara, Yukinobu Akamatsu, Taeko Osaka, Shigehisa Sakurai, Akane Hirotani, Takafumi Nozaki, Keisuke Shoji, Seiji Adachi and 1 more

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Article in Family medicine and community health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Eiichi KakehiDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan openwaterswimming424@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-4556-8412
Ryo UehiraDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Nobuaki OharaDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Yukinobu AkamatsuDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Taeko OsakaDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Shigehisa SakuraiDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Akane HirotaniDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Takafumi NozakiDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Keisuke ShojiDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Seiji AdachiDepartment of General Medicine, Tottori Municipal Hospital, Tottori, Japan.
Kazuhiko KotaniDivision of Community and Family Medicine, Jichi Medical University, Shimotsuke, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-8119-633X
Jichi Medical University · JPTottori University Hospital · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivePredictors of prognosis are necessary for use in routine clinical practice for older patients with pneumonia, given the ageing of the population. Recently, the National Early Warning Score (NEWS), a comprehensive predictor of severity that consists solely of physiological indicators, has been proposed to predict the prognosis of pneumonia. The neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a simple index of inflammation that may also be predictive of pneumonia. In the present study, we aimed to determine whether NEWS or a combination of NEWS and NLR predicts mortality in older patients with pneumonia.

designA retrospective cohort study.

settingA general hospital in Japan.

participantsWe collected data from patients aged ≥65 years with pneumonia who were admitted between 2018 and 2020 (n=282; age=85.3 (7.9)). Data regarding vital signs, demographics and the length of hospital stay, in addition to the NEWS and NLR, were extracted from the participants' electronic medical records.

interventionThe utility of the combination of NEWS and NLR was assessed using NEWS×NLR and NEWS+NLR.

main outcome measuresTheir predictive ability for 30-day mortality as the primary outcome was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

resultsAccording to the NEWS classification, 80 (28.3%), 64 (22.7%) and 138 (48.9%) of the participants were at low, medium and high risk of mortality, respectively. The 30-day mortality for the entire cohort was 9.2% (n=26), and the mortality rate increased with the NEWS classification: low, 1.3%; medium, 7.8%; and high, 14.5%. The NLRs were 6.0 (4.2-9.8), 6.8 (4.8-10.4) and 14.6 (9.4-22.2), respectively (p<0.001). The areas under the ROC curves for 30-day mortality were 0.73 for the NEWS score, 0.84 for NEWS×NLR and 0.83 for NEWS+NLR, indicating that the combinations represent superior predictors of mortality to the NEWS alone. NEWS×NLR and NEWS+NLR tended to have better sensitivity, accuracy, positive predictive value and negative predictive value than NEWS alone (p=0.06).

conclusionsA combination of the NEWS and NLR (NEWS×NLR or NEWS+NLR) may be superior to the NEWS alone for the prediction of 30-day mortality in older patients with pneumonia. However, further validation of these combinations for use in the prediction of prognosis is required.

Indexed as

Early Warning ScorePneumoniaAgedHumansLymphocytesNeutrophilsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesAgingClinical MedicineCommunity-Acquired InfectionsCommunity MedicinePhysicians, Primary Care

Identifiers

PMID37344123
PMCPMC10314686
OpenAlexW4381550136

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.