Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37338985›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2023

Evaluating Model Specification When Using the Parametric G-Formula in the Presence of Censoring.

Yu-Han Chiu, Lan Wen, Sean McGrath, Roger Logan, Issa J Dahabreh, Miguel A Hernán

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Active Monitoring versus Surgical Excision for Atypical Ductal Hyperplasia.Cancer prevention research (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2026
    Observational
  3. Article
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  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Smooth Multi-Policy Causal Effect Estimation in Longitudinal Settings.Proceedings of machine learning research · 2026
    Article
  8. Deep Doubly Debiased Longitudinal Effect Estimation with ICE G-Computation.KDD : proceedings. International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Estimating the Effects of Hypothetical AmbientEnvironmental health perspectives · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yu-Han Chiu
Lan Wen
Sean McGrath
Roger Logan
Issa J Dahabreh
Miguel A Hernán

Funding

Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in Male Health ProfessionalsU01CA167552 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Lorelei Mucci, Walter C. Willett · 2017 to 2026
$17.0M
RISK FACTORS FOR CVD IN WOMENR01HL034594 · NHLBI · TULANE UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA · PI JoAnn Elisabeth Manson, Lu Qi · 1985 to 2026
$13.8M
Dietary Etiology of Heart DiseaseR01HL035464 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI ERIC B RIMM, Qi Sun · 1986 to 2026
$13.6M
Risk Factors for Ischemic Stroke in WomenR01HL088521 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI REXRODE, KATHRYN M · 2008 to 2025
$9.9M
Dynamic Strategies for the clinical management of HIV diseaseR37AI102634 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI MIGUEL HERNAN · 2018 to 2026
$5.3M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA167552NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL034594NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL035464NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL088521NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI102634
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The noniterative conditional expectation (NICE) parametric g-formula can be used to estimate the causal effect of sustained treatment strategies. In addition to identifiability conditions, the validity of the NICE parametric g-formula generally requires the correct specification of models for time-varying outcomes, treatments, and confounders at each follow-up time point. An informal approach for evaluating model specification is to compare the observed distributions of the outcome, treatments, and confounders with their parametric g-formula estimates under the "natural course." In the presence of loss to follow-up, however, the observed and natural-course risks can differ even if the identifiability conditions of the parametric g-formula hold and there is no model misspecification. Here, we describe 2 approaches for evaluating model specification when using the parametric g-formula in the presence of censoring: 1) comparing factual risks estimated by the g-formula with nonparametric Kaplan-Meier estimates and 2) comparing natural-course risks estimated by inverse probability weighting with those estimated by the g-formula. We also describe how to correctly compute natural-course estimates of time-varying covariate means when using a computationally efficient g-formula algorithm. We evaluate the proposed methods via simulation and implement them to estimate the effects of dietary interventions in 2 cohort studies.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalCausalityCohort StudiesComputer SimulationHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateProbabilitycensoringinverse probability weightingmodel misspecificationnoniterative conditional expectation parametric g-formula

Identifiers

PMID37338985
PMCPMC11043789

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.