Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37337526›Full record

ArticlePsychedelic medicine (New Rochelle, N.Y.)2023

A Bayesian Reanalysis of a Trial of Psilocybin versus Escitalopram for Depression.

Sandeep M Nayak, Bilal A Bari, David B Yaden, Meg J Spriggs, Fernando E Rosas, Joseph M Peill, Bruna Giribaldi, David Erritzoe, David J Nutt, Robin Carhart-Harris

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Psychedelic medicine (New Rochelle, N.Y.), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT03429075 (Psilocybin vs Escitalopram for Major Depressive Disorder), which is not on this map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03429075 phase2completednot on this map

Psilocybin vs Escitalopram for Major Depressive Disorder: Comparative Mechanisms

TypeinterventionalSponsorImperial College LondonRan2019 to 2020Enrolled59ConditionsDepressive Disorder, MajorArmsPsilocybin + Placebo, Psilocybin + Escitalopram
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Erratum issued
    2024
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Sandeep M NayakCenter for Psychedelic and Consciousness Research, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Bilal A BariDepartment of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
David B YadenCenter for Psychedelic and Consciousness Research, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Meg J SpriggsCentre for Psychedelic Research, Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK.
Fernando E RosasCentre for Psychedelic Research, Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK.
Joseph M PeillCentre for Psychedelic Research, Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK.
Bruna GiribaldiCentre for Psychedelic Research, Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK.
David ErritzoeCentre for Psychedelic Research, Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK.
David J NuttCentre for Psychedelic Research, Department of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK.
Robin Carhart-HarrisPsychedelics Division, Neuroscape, Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre · GBJohns Hopkins University · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USUniversity of California System · US

Funding

Fostering Research Mentorship & Training during Psychiatry Residency SupplementR25MH094612 · NIMH · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI FAVA, MAURIZIO, GREENFIELD, SHELLY F. · 2011 to 2022
$2.3M
NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH094612
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: To perform a Bayesian reanalysis of a recent trial of psilocybin (COMP360) versus escitalopram for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) in order to provide a more informative interpretation of the indeterminate outcome of a previous frequentist analysis. Design: Reanalysis of a two-arm double-blind placebo controlled trial. Participants: Fifty-nine patients with MDD. Interventions: Two doses of psilocybin 25mg and daily oral placebo versus daily escitalopram and 2 doses of psilocybin 1mg, with psychological support for both groups. Outcome measures: Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology-Self-Report (QIDS SR-16), and three other depression scales as secondary outcomes: HAMD-17, MADRS, and BDI-1A. Results: Using Bayes factors and 'skeptical priors' which bias estimates towards zero, for the hypothesis that psilocybin is superior by any margin, we found indeterminate evidence for QIDS SR-16, strong evidence for BDI-1A and MADRS, and extremely strong evidence for HAMD-17. For the stronger hypothesis that psilocybin is superior by a 'clinically meaningful amount' (using literature defined values of the minimally clinically important difference), we found moderate evidence against it for QIDS SR-16, indeterminate evidence for BDI-1A and MADRS, and moderate evidence supporting it for HAMD-17. Furthermore, across the board we found extremely strong evidence for psilocybin's non-inferiority versus escitalopram. These findings were robust to prior sensitivity analysis. Conclusions: This Bayesian reanalysis supports the following inferences: 1) that psilocybin did indeed outperform escitalopram in this trial, but not to an extent that was clinically meaningful--and 2) that psilocybin is almost certainly non-inferior to escitalopram. The present results provide a more precise and nuanced interpretation to previously reported results from this trial, and support the need for further research into the relative efficacy of psilocybin therapy for depression with respect to current leading treatments. Trial registration number: NCT03429075.

Identifiers

PMID37337526
PMCPMC10278160
OpenAlexW4307481727

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.