ArticleThe Journal of surgical research2023
Identifying Young Adults at High Risk for Weight Gain Using Machine Learning.
Article in The Journal of surgical research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Development and external validation of a machine learning model to predict high flow nasal cannula failure.BMJ open respiratory research · 2025Article
- Using Machine Learning to Predict Weight Gain in Adults: an Observational Analysis From the All of Us Research Program.The Journal of surgical research · 2025Observational
- Deep Learning-Based Obesity Identification System for Young Adults Using Smartphone Inertial Measurements.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
introductionWeight gain among young adults continues to increase. Identifying adults at high risk for weight gain and intervening before they gain weight could have a major public health impact. Our objective was to develop and test electronic health record-based machine learning models to predict weight gain in young adults with overweight/class 1 obesity.
methodsSeven machine learning models were assessed, including three regression models, random forest, single-layer neural network, gradient-boosted decision trees, and support vector machine (SVM) models. Four categories of predictors were included: 1) demographics; 2) obesity-related health conditions; 3) laboratory data and vital signs; and 4) neighborhood-level variables. The cohort was split 60:40 for model training and validation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) were calculated to determine model accuracy at predicting high-risk individuals, defined by ≥ 10% total body weight gain within 2 y. Variable importance was measured via generalized analysis of variance procedures.
resultsOf the 24,183 patients (mean [SD] age, 32.0 [6.3] y; 55.1% females) in the study, 14.2% gained ≥10% total body weight. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves varied from 0.557 (SVM) to 0.675 (gradient-boosted decision trees). Age, sex, and baseline body mass index were the most important predictors among the models except SVM and neural network.
conclusionsOur machine learning models performed similarly and had modest accuracy for identifying young adults at risk of weight gain. Future models may need to incorporate behavioral and/or genetic information to enhance model accuracy.
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Registered trials
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