Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37321808›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2023

Incidence of child marriage among refugees and internally displaced persons in the Middle East and South Asia: evidence from six cross-sectional surveys.

Shatha Elnakib, Ligia Paina, Bothaina Attal, Rumana Akter, Ghada Khoury, Loqman Karim, Hemeda Houssein Barkat, Anand Tamang, Gayane Yenokyan, Janna Metzler and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Shatha ElnakibDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA selnaki1@jhu.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-2316-4211
Ligia PainaDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8403-7825
Bothaina AttalCentre for Business Research, Cambridge Judge Business School, Cambridge, UK.
Rumana AkterCommunity Partners International, Cox's Bazar, Bangladesh.
Ghada KhourySchool of Pharmacy, Lebanese American University, Byblos, Lebanon.
Loqman KarimUniversity of Sulaimani, Irbil, Northern Iraq.
Hemeda Houssein BarkatGender Observatory, Ministry of Women and Family, Djibouti City, Djibouti.
Anand TamangCenter for Research on Environment Health and Population Activities, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Gayane YenokyanDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Janna MetzlerWomen's Refugee Commission, New York, New York, USA.
Courtland RobinsonDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Johns Hopkins University · USCommunity Partners · USLebanese American University · LBSana'a University · YEUniversity of Djibouti · DJUniversity of Sulaimani · IQWomen's Refugee Commission · US

Funding

QAQC Johns Hopkins Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR003098 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2019 to 2023
$57.7M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR003098
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine incidence of child marriage among displaced and host populations in humanitarian settings.

designCross-sectional surveys.

settingData were collected in Djibouti, Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq in the Middle East and in Bangladesh and Nepal in South Asia.

participantsAdolescent girls aged 10-19 in the six settings and age cohort comparators. OUTCOME MEASURES: Cumulative incidence of marriage by age 18.

resultsIn Bangladesh and Iraq, the hazard of child marriage did not differ between internally displaced populations (IDPs) and hosts (p value=0.25 and 0.081, respectively). In Yemen, IDPs had a higher hazard of child marriage compared with hosts (p value<0.001). In Djibouti, refugees had a lower hazard of child marriage compared with hosts (p value<0.001). In pooled data, the average hazard of child marriage was significantly higher among displaced compared with host populations (adjusted HR (aHR) 1.3; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.61).In age cohort comparisons, there was no significant difference between child marriage hazard across age cohorts in Bangladesh (p value=0.446), while in Lebanon and Nepal, younger cohorts were less likely to transition to child marriage compared with older comparators (p value<0.001). Only in Yemen were younger cohorts more likely to transition to child marriage, indicating an increase in child marriage rates after conflict (p value=0.034). Pooled data showed a downward trend, where younger age cohorts had, on average, a lower hazard of child marriage compared with older cohorts (aHR 0.36; 95% CI 0.29 to 0.4).

conclusionsWe did not find conclusive evidence that humanitarian crises are associated with universal increases in child marriage rates. Our findings indicate that decision-making about investments in child marriage prevention and response must be attuned to the local context and grounded in data on past and current trends in child marriage among communities impacted by crisis.

Indexed as

MarriageRefugeesAdolescentAsia, SouthernChildCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceLebanonYoung AdultChild protectionEPIDEMIOLOGYREPRODUCTIVE MEDICINE

Identifiers

PMID37321808
PMCPMC10277033
OpenAlexW4380870942

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.