Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37318606›Full record

Trial reportEuropean radiology2023

A prognostic model for predicting progression-free survival in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer after image-guided microwave ablation plus chemotherapy.

Fanhao Kong, Honglan Yang, Qiaoxia Wang, Zhigang Wei, Xin Ye

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in European radiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Fanhao KongThe First Clinical Department, China Medical University, 155 Nanjingbei Road, Liaoning Province, Shenyang, China. fhkong6720@163.com.
Honglan YangDepartment of Oncology, Dongying People's Hospital, 317 Nanyi Road, Dongying, Shandong Province, China.
Qiaoxia WangDepartment of Respiratory, Dongying People's Hospital, 317 Nanyi Road, Shandong Province, Dongying, China.
Zhigang WeiDepartment of Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong Lung Cancer Institute, Shandong Key Laboratory of Rheumatic Disease and Translational Medicine, Jinan, Shandong Province, China. weizhigang321321@163.com.
Xin YeDepartment of Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Shandong Lung Cancer Institute, Shandong Key Laboratory of Rheumatic Disease and Translational Medicine, Jinan, Shandong Province, China. yexintaian2020@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to build and validate a prediction model that can predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) after image-guided microwave ablation (MWA) plus chemotherapy.

methodsData from a previous multi-center randomized controlled trial (RCT) was used and assigned to either the training data set or the external validation data set according to the location of the centers. Potential prognostic factors were identified by multivariable analysis in the training data set and used to construct a nomogram. After bootstraps internal and external validation, the predictive performance was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), Brier Score, and calibration curves. Risk group stratification was conducted using the score calculated by the nomogram. Then a simplified scoring system was built to make risk group stratification more convenient.

resultsIn total, 148 patients (training data set: n = 112; external validation data set: n = 36) were enrolled for analysis. Six potential predictors were identified and entered into the nomogram, including weight loss, histology, clinical TNM stage, clinical N category, tumor location, and tumor size. The C-indexes were 0.77 (95% CI, 0.65-0.88, internal validation) and 0.64 (95% CI, 0.43-0.85, external validation). The survival curves of different risk groups also displayed significant distinction (p < 0.0001).

conclusionsWe found weight loss, histology, clinical TNM stage, clinical N category, tumor location, and tumor size were prognostic factors of progression after receiving MWA plus chemotherapy and constructed a prediction model that can predict PFS. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The nomogram and scoring system will assist physicians to predict the individualized PFS of their patients and decide whether to perform or terminate MWA and chemotherapy according to the expected benefits. KEY POINTS: • Build and validate a prognostic model using the data from a previous randomized controlled trial to predict progression-free survival after receiving MWA plus chemotherapy. • Weight loss, histology, clinical TNM stage, clinical N category, tumor location, and tumor size were prognostic factors. • The nomogram and scoring system published by the prediction model can be used to assist physicians to make clinical decisions.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsHumansMicrowavesNomogramsPrognosisProgression-Free SurvivalWeight LossCarcinoma, Non-small-cell lungLungMicrowavePrognosis

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.