Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37314578›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2023

Does Risser stage accurately predict the risk of curve progression in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis treated with night-time bracing?

Martin Heegaard, Niklas Tøndevold, Benny Dahl, Thomas B Andersen, Martin Gehrchen, Søren Ohrt-Nissen

Open access · hybridAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Can curve characteristics predict severe progression in night-time bracing in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis?European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
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  7. Answer to the letter to the editor of E. Yıldırım, et al. concerning "MRI in early stages of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis indicates a neuro-osseous growth mismatch associated with curve progression" by S. Ohrt-Nissen (Eur spine J [2025]; doi.org/10.1007/s00586-024-08640-9).European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
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  11. Does the coronal deformity angular ratio affect bracing outcome in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis?European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2024
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  12. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Martin HeegaardSpine Unit, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Inge Lehmanns Vej 6, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark. Martin.heegaard@regionh.dk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2566-4634
Niklas TøndevoldSpine Unit, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Inge Lehmanns Vej 6, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5833-6207
Benny DahlSpine Unit, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Inge Lehmanns Vej 6, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5769-6959
Thomas B AndersenSpine Unit, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Inge Lehmanns Vej 6, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Martin GehrchenSpine Unit, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Inge Lehmanns Vej 6, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5523-2763
Søren Ohrt-NissenSpine Unit, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Inge Lehmanns Vej 6, 2100, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8234-9948
Copenhagen University Hospital · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeRisser stage is widely used as a marker for skeletal maturity (SM) and thereby an indirect measure for the risk of progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). The Scoliosis Research Society recommends bracing for Risser stages 0-2 as Risser stage 3 or above is considered low risk. Very few studies have assessed the risk of progression during bracing in Risser stages 3-4. The objective of the current study is to determine if Risser stages 3-4 provide a meaningful cutoff in terms of progression risk in patients with AIS treated with night-time bracing.

methodsAIS patients treated with night-time brace from 2005 to 2018 with a Cobb angle between 25 and 40 degrees and Risser stages 0-4 were retrospectively included. Curve progression (> 5 degrees increase) was monitored until surgery or SM. Skeletal maturity was defined as either 2 years postmenarchal, no height development or closed ulnar epiphyseal plates on radiographs.

resultsOne hundred and thirty-five patients were included (Risser stages 0-2: n = 86 and 3-4: n = 49). Overall, radiographic curve progression occurred in 52% while progression beyond 45 degrees was seen in 35%. The progression rate in the Risser 0-2 group was 60% and 37% in the Risser 3-4 group (p = 0.012). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, adjusted for Risser stages and age, only premenarchal status showed a statistically significant association with progression (OR: 2.68, 95%CI 1.08-6.67).

conclusionRisser stage does not provide a clinically meaningful differentiation of progression risk in AIS patients treated with a night-time brace. Risk assessment should include other more reliable measures of skeletal growth potential.

Indexed as

KyphosisScoliosisAdolescentBracesDisease ProgressionHumansRadiographyRetrospective StudiesTreatment OutcomeUlnaAdolescent idiopathic scoliosisCurve progressionNight-time bracePredictRisser stage

Identifiers

PMID37314578
OpenAlexW4380576861

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.