Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37311849›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Predicting the antigenic evolution of SARS-COV-2 with deep learning.

Wenkai Han, Ningning Chen, Xinzhou Xu, Adil Sahil, Juexiao Zhou, Zhongxiao Li, Huawen Zhong, Elva Gao, Ruochi Zhang, Yu Wang and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Protein foundation models: a comprehensive survey.Science China. Life sciences · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Predicting pathogen evolution and immune evasion in the age of artificial intelligence.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2025
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. A predictive language model for SARS-CoV-2 evolution.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Wenkai Han *Computer Science Program, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Ningning Chen *Computer Science Program, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.ORCID 0000-0003-4340-7268
Xinzhou Xu *Department of Chemical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6439-7970
Adil SahilComputer Science Program, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Juexiao ZhouComputer Science Program, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Zhongxiao LiComputer Science Program, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.ORCID 0000-0003-2480-0750
Huawen ZhongComputational Bioscience Research Center, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Elva GaoThe KAUST School, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Ruochi ZhangSyneron Technology, Guangzhou, 510000, China.
Yu WangSyneron Technology, Guangzhou, 510000, China.
Shiwei SunKey Lab of Intelligent Information Processing, Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China. dwsun@ict.ac.cn.
Peter Pak-Hang CheungDepartment of Chemical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. ppcheung@cuhk.edu.hk.ORCID 0000-0001-8474-2906
Xin GaoComputer Science Program, Computer, Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, 23955-6900, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. xin.gao@kaust.edu.sa.ORCID 0000-0002-7108-3574

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The relentless evolution of SARS-CoV-2 poses a significant threat to public health, as it adapts to immune pressure from vaccines and natural infections. Gaining insights into potential antigenic changes is critical but challenging due to the vast sequence space. Here, we introduce the Machine Learning-guided Antigenic Evolution Prediction (MLAEP), which combines structure modeling, multi-task learning, and genetic algorithms to predict the viral fitness landscape and explore antigenic evolution via in silico directed evolution. By analyzing existing SARS-CoV-2 variants, MLAEP accurately infers variant order along antigenic evolutionary trajectories, correlating with corresponding sampling time. Our approach identified novel mutations in immunocompromised COVID-19 patients and emerging variants like XBB1.5. Additionally, MLAEP predictions were validated through in vitro neutralizing antibody binding assays, demonstrating that the predicted variants exhibited enhanced immune evasion. By profiling existing variants and predicting potential antigenic changes, MLAEP aids in vaccine development and enhances preparedness against future SARS-CoV-2 variants.

Indexed as

COVID-19Deep LearningAntibodies, NeutralizingHumansSARS-CoV-2Antibodies, Neutralizing

Identifiers

PMID37311849
PMCPMC10261845

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.