ArticleLa Medicina del lavoro2023
Excess Total Mortality in Italy: An Update to February 2023 with Focus on Working Ages.
Article in La Medicina del lavoro, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Mortality surveillance as an early warning system for respiratory infection outbreaks: lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic in Alexandria, Egypt.The Journal of the Egyptian Public Health Association · 2026Article
- COVID-19 pandemic as an effect modifier on the association between elevated temperatures and emergency department visits: A case-time-series study in a large population.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2025Article
- Excess and reduced work absence during COVID-19 in Poland: insights from cause-specific time-series models.Population health metrics · 2025Article
- All-Cause and Cause-Specific Excess Mortality During the First Two Years of the COVID-19 Pandemic in North-East of Iran: Reiterating the Significance of High-Quality Healthcare Systems.International journal of health policy and management · 2025Article
- COVID-19 Marked a Change in the Scope of Occupational Medicine from Occupational to Work-Related Diseases and Total Worker Health®.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- No Excess Total Mortality in Italy in the First Semester of 2023 at All Ages and in the Working Age Population.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
- Still Unanswered Questions About SARS-CoV-2 Mortality and Future Directions for Occupational Medicine.La Medicina del lavoro · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundItaly had a persistent excess of total mortality up to July 2022. This study provides updated estimates of excess mortality in Italy until February 2023.
methodsMortality and population data from 2011 to 2019 were used to estimate the number of expected deaths during the pandemic. Expected deaths were obtained using over-dispersed Poisson regression models, fitted separately for men and women, including calendar year, age group, and a smoothed function of the day of the year as predictors. The excess deaths were then obtained by calculating the difference between observed and expected deaths and were computed at all ages and working ages (25-64 years).
resultsWe estimated 26,647 excess deaths for all ages and 1248 for working ages from August to December 2022, resulting in a percent excess mortality of 10.2% and 4.7%, respectively. No excess mortality was detected in January and February 2023.
conclusionsOur study indicates substantial excess mortality beyond those directly attributed to COVID-19 during the BA.4 and BA.5 Omicron wave in the latter half of 2022. This excess could be attributed to additional factors, such as the heatwave during the summer of 2022 and the early onset of the influenza season.
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