Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37309412›Full record

ArticleSocius : sociological research for a dynamic world

Introduction to the Special Collection on the Fragile Families Challenge.

Matthew J Salganik, Ian Lundberg, Alexander T Kindel, Sara McLanahan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Socius : sociological research for a dynamic world. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Can science-based interventions tamp down polarization?Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. The origins of unpredictability in life outcome prediction tasks.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Measuring the news and its impact on democracy.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Predicting Layoff among Fragile Families.Socius : sociological research for a dynamic world
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Matthew J SalganikPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Ian LundbergPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Alexander T KindelPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Sara McLanahanPrinceton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.

Funding

Fragile Families and the Transition to AdulthoodR01HD036916 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI Kathryn Edin, Jane Waldfogel · 1999 to 2026
$46.3M
Infrastructure for Population Research at PrincetonR24HD047879 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI MASSEY, DOUGLAS S · 2004 to 2013
$7.3M
ECONOMIC STATUS, PUBLIC POLICY, AND CHILD NEGLECTR01HD039135 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI PAXSON, CHRISTINA H · 2000 to 2004
$3.1M
Child Care and Parental Employment in Fragile FamiliesR01HD040421 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY TEACHERS COLLEGE · PI BROOKS-GUNN, JEANNE · 2002 to 2006
$2.8M
Scientific and Technical Computing CoreP2CHD047879 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI SALGANIK, MATTHEW J. · 2014 to 2018
$2.0M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047879NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD036916NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD039135NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD040421NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD047879
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Fragile Families Challenge is a scientific mass collaboration designed to measure and understand the predictability of life trajectories. Participants in the Challenge created predictive models of six life outcomes using data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, a high-quality birth cohort study. This Special Collection includes 12 articles describing participants' approaches to predicting these six outcomes as well as 3 articles describing methodological and procedural insights from running the Challenge. This introduction will help readers interpret the individual articles and help researchers interested in running future projects similar to the Fragile Families Challenge.

Indexed as

common task methodlife coursemachine learningmass collaborationprediction

Identifiers

PMID37309412
PMCPMC10260255

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.