Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37308504›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Deforestation for oil palm increases microclimate suitability for the development of the disease vector Aedes albopictus.

E S Saager, T Iwamura, T Jucker, K A Murray

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Larval ecology ofCurrent research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

E S SaagerCentre for Translational Immunology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands. e.s.saager-2@umcutrecht.nl.
T IwamuraDepartment F.-A. Forel for Aquatic and Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
T JuckerSchool of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
K A MurrayMRC Unit The Gambia at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia.
MRC Unit the Gambia · GMUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NLUniversity of Bristol · GBUniversity of Geneva · CH

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_00026/3Medical Research Council MC_UU_00031/3Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1Medical Research Council MR/R0156600/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A major trade-off of land-use change is the potential for increased risk of infectious diseases, a.o. through impacting disease vector life-cycles. Evaluating the public health implications of land-use conversions requires spatially detailed modelling linking land-use to vector ecology. Here, we estimate the impact of deforestation for oil palm cultivation on the number of life-cycle completions of Aedes albopictus via its impact on local microclimates. We apply a recently developed mechanistic phenology model to a fine-scaled (50-m resolution) microclimate dataset that includes daily temperature, rainfall and evaporation. Results of this combined model indicate that the conversion from lowland rainforest to plantations increases suitability for A. albopictus development by 10.8%, moderated to 4.7% with oil palm growth to maturity. Deforestation followed by typical plantation planting-maturation-clearance-replanting cycles is predicted to create pulses of high development suitability. Our results highlight the need to explore sustainable land-use scenarios that resolve conflicts between agricultural and human health objectives.

Indexed as

AedesAnimalsConservation of Natural ResourcesDisease VectorsHumansMicroclimateMosquito Vectors

Identifiers

PMID37308504
PMCPMC10260943
OpenAlexW4380323768

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.