Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37304114›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2023

Development and validation of a prediction model based on comorbidities to estimate the risk of in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19.

Yangjie Zhu, Boyang Yu, Kang Tang, Tongtong Liu, Dongjun Niu, Lulu Zhang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Yangjie Zhu *Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Boyang Yu *Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Kang TangDepartment of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Tongtong Liu *Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Dongjun NiuDepartment of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Lulu ZhangDepartment of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China.
Second Military Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Most existing prognostic models of COVID-19 require imaging manifestations and laboratory results as predictors, which are only available in the post-hospitalization period. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model to assess the in-hospital death risk in COVID-19 patients using routinely available predictors at hospital admission. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with COVID-19 using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Database in 2020. Patients hospitalized in Eastern United States (Florida, Michigan, Kentucky, and Maryland) were included in the training set, and those hospitalized in Western United States (Nevada) were included in the validation set. Discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility were evaluated to assess the model's performance. Results: A total of 17 954 in-hospital deaths occurred in the training set ( Conclusion: An easy-to-use prognostic model based on predictors readily available at hospital admission was developed and validated for the early identification of COVID-19 patients with a high risk of in-hospital death. This model can be a clinical decision-support tool to triage patients and optimize resource allocation.

Indexed as

COVID-19ComorbidityHospital MortalityHumansPatientsRetrospective StudiescomorbidityCOVID-19deathhospitalizationprediction modelretrospective study

Identifiers

PMID37304114
PMCPMC10254410
OpenAlexW4378374347

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.