Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37303239›Full record

ArticleEpilepsia2023

Perceived seizure risk in epilepsy: Chronic electronic surveys with and without concurrent electroencephalography.

Jie Cui, Irena Balzekas, Ewan Nurse, Pedro Viana, Nicholas Gregg, Philippa Karoly, Rachel E Stirling, Gregory Worrell, Mark P Richardson, Dean R Freestone and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epilepsia, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Rhythms in Longitudinal Thalamic Recordings are Linked to Seizure Risk.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jie CuiDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1000-8869
Irena BalzekasDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2731-9188
Ewan NurseSeer Medical, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8981-0074
Pedro VianaSchool of Neuroscience, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology, and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0861-8705
Nicholas GreggDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6151-043X
Philippa KarolyDepartment of Medicine, St. Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9879-5854
Rachel E StirlingSeer Medical, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4698-3773
Gregory WorrellDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2916-0553
Mark P RichardsonSchool of Neuroscience, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology, and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8925-3140
Dean R FreestoneSeer Medical, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Benjamin H BrinkmannDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2392-8608

Funding

Optimizing Pharmacotherapy with Noninvasive Wearable Sensors and Subscalp EEGUH3NS123066 · NINDS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI Benjamin H Brinkmann, Gregory A Worrell · 2025 to 2026
$1.4M
Optimizing Pharmacotherapy with Noninvasive Wearable Sensors and Subscalp EEGUG3NS123066 · NINDS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI BRINKMANN, BENJAMIN H, WORRELL, GREGORY A · 2022 to 2024
$1.2M
NINDS NIH HHS UG3 NS123066NINDS NIH HHS UH3 NS123066
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivePrevious studies suggested that patients with epilepsy might be able to forecast their own seizures. This study aimed to assess the relationships between premonitory symptoms, perceived seizure risk, and future and recent self-reported and electroencephalographically (EEG)-confirmed seizures in ambulatory patients with epilepsy in their natural home environments.

methodsLong-term e-surveys were collected from patients with and without concurrent EEG recordings. Information obtained from the e-surveys included medication adherence, sleep quality, mood, stress, perceived seizure risk, and seizure occurrences preceding the survey. EEG seizures were identified. Univariate and multivariate generalized linear mixed-effect regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for the assessment of the relationships. Results were compared with the seizure forecasting classifiers and device forecasting literature using a mathematical formula converting OR to equivalent area under the curve (AUC).

resultsFifty-four subjects returned 10 269 e-survey entries, with four subjects acquiring concurrent EEG recordings. Univariate analysis revealed that increased stress (OR = 2.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.12-3.61, AUC = .61, p = .02) was associated with increased relative odds of future self-reported seizures. Multivariate analysis showed that previous self-reported seizures (OR = 5.37, 95% CI = 3.53-8.16, AUC = .76, p < .001) were most strongly associated with future self-reported seizures, and high perceived seizure risk (OR = 3.34, 95% CI = 1.87-5.95, AUC = .69, p < .001) remained significant when prior self-reported seizures were added to the model. No correlation with medication adherence was found. No significant association was found between e-survey responses and subsequent EEG seizures. SIGNIFICANCE: Our results suggest that patients may tend to self-forecast seizures that occur in sequential groupings and that low mood and increased stress may be the result of previous seizures rather than independent premonitory symptoms. Patients in the small cohort with concurrent EEG showed no ability to self-predict EEG seizures. The conversion from OR to AUC values facilitates direct comparison of performance between survey and device studies involving survey premonition and forecasting.

Indexed as

EpilepsySeizuresElectroencephalographyHumansMultivariate AnalysisSurveys and Questionnaireselectronic surveylong-term monitoringpremonitory symptomsseizure clustersseizure forecasting

Identifiers

PMID37303239
PMCPMC10526687

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.