Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37301858›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Global warming accelerates soil heterotrophic respiration.

Alon Nissan, Uria Alcolombri, Nadav Peleg, Nir Galili, Joaquin Jimenez-Martinez, Peter Molnar, Markus Holzner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
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  5. Article
  6. Shorebird loss increases soil COFundamental research · 2026
    Article
  7. Coupled Above- and Belowground Ecosystem Stability Worldwide.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. One Health, One Microbiome.Microbiome · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Alon NissanInstitute of Environmental Engineering, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, ETH Zürich, Zürich, 8093, Switzerland. anissan@ethz.ch.ORCID 0000-0003-1300-5591
Uria AlcolombriInstitute of Environmental Engineering, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, ETH Zürich, Zürich, 8093, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-3561-5091
Nadav PelegInstitute of Earth Surface Dynamics, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, 1015, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-6863-2934
Nir GaliliGeological Institute, Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Zürich, Zürich, 8092, Switzerland.
Joaquin Jimenez-MartinezInstitute of Environmental Engineering, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, ETH Zürich, Zürich, 8093, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-2063-6490
Peter MolnarInstitute of Environmental Engineering, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, ETH Zürich, Zürich, 8093, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-6437-4931
Markus HolznerDepartment of Water Resources and Drinking Water, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, EAWAG, Dübendorf, 8600, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Carbon efflux from soils is the largest terrestrial carbon source to the atmosphere, yet it is still one of the most uncertain fluxes in the Earth's carbon budget. A dominant component of this flux is heterotrophic respiration, influenced by several environmental factors, most notably soil temperature and moisture. Here, we develop a mechanistic model from micro to global scale to explore how changes in soil water content and temperature affect soil heterotrophic respiration. Simulations, laboratory measurements, and field observations validate the new approach. Estimates from the model show that heterotrophic respiration has been increasing since the 1980s at a rate of about 2% per decade globally. Using future projections of surface temperature and soil moisture, the model predicts a global increase of about 40% in heterotrophic respiration by the end of the century under the worst-case emission scenario, where the Arctic region is expected to experience a more than two-fold increase, driven primarily by declining soil moisture rather than temperature increase.

Indexed as

Global WarmingSoilCarbonCarbon DioxideEcosystemHeterotrophic ProcessesRespirationSoil MicrobiologyTemperatureCarbonCarbon DioxideSoil

Identifiers

PMID37301858
PMCPMC10257684

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.