Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37301589›Full record

ArticleSpatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology2023

Spatio-temporal model to investigate COVID-19 spread accounting for the mobility amongst municipalities.

Chellafe Ensoy-Musoro, Minh Hanh Nguyen, Niel Hens, Geert Molenberghs, Christel Faes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Chellafe Ensoy-MusoroInteruniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Belgium.
Minh Hanh NguyenInteruniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Belgium. Electronic address: minhhanh.nguyen@uhasselt.be.
Niel HensInteruniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Belgium; Centre for Health Economics Research and Modelling of Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute (VAXINFECTIO), University of Antwerp, Belgium.
Geert MolenberghsInteruniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Belgium; Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, KU Leuven, Belgium.
Christel FaesInteruniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, Data Science Institute, Hasselt University, Belgium. Electronic address: christel.faes@uhasselt.be.

Funding

European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme - project EpiPose 101003688
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The rapid spread of COVID-19 worldwide led to the implementation of various non-pharmaceutical interventions to limit transmission and hence reduce the number of infections. Using telecom-operator-based mobility data and a spatio-temporal dynamic model, the impact of mobility on the evolution of the pandemic at the level of the 581 Belgian municipalities is investigated. By decomposing incidence, particularly into within- and between-municipality components, we noted that the global epidemic component is relatively more important in larger municipalities (e.g., cities), while the local component is more relevant in smaller (rural) municipalities. Investigation of the effect of mobility on the pandemic spread showed that reduction of mobility has a significant impact in reducing the number of new infections.

Indexed as

COVID-19BelgiumCitiesHumansPandemicsCOVID-19MobilitySpatio-temporal dynamic modelStochastic prediction

Identifiers

PMID37301589
PMCPMC9904848

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.