Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37296305›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Subsea permafrost organic carbon stocks are large and of dominantly low reactivity.

F Miesner, P P Overduin, G Grosse, J Strauss, M Langer, S Westermann, T Schneider von Deimling, V Brovkin, S Arndt

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

F MiesnerAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany. frederieke.miesner@awi.de.
P P OverduinAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.
G GrosseAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.
J StraussAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.
M LangerAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.
S WestermannDepartment of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
T Schneider von DeimlingAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.
V BrovkinMax Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany.
S ArndtBGeoSys, Department of Geosciences, Environment and Society, Université libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium.
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung · DEUniversität Hamburg · DEUniversité Libre de Bruxelles · BEUniversity of Oslo · NOUniversity of Potsdam · DE

Funding

Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung 01LN1709AHorizon 2020 Framework Programme 77342
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Subsea permafrost carbon pools below the Arctic shelf seas are a major unknown in the global carbon cycle. We combine a numerical model of sedimentation and permafrost evolution with simplified carbon turnover to estimate accumulation and microbial decomposition of organic matter on the pan-Arctic shelf over the past four glacial cycles. We find that Arctic shelf permafrost is a globally important long-term carbon sink storing 2822 (1518-4982) Pg OC, double the amount stored in lowland permafrost. Although currently thawing, prior microbial decomposition and organic matter aging limit decomposition rates to less than 48 Tg OC/yr (25-85) constraining emissions due to thaw and suggesting that the large permafrost shelf carbon pool is largely insensitive to thaw. We identify an urgent need to reduce uncertainty in rates of microbial decomposition of organic matter in cold and saline subaquatic environments. Large emissions of methane more likely derive from older and deeper sources than from organic matter in thawing permafrost.

Identifiers

PMID37296305
PMCPMC10256719
OpenAlexW4380082861

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.