Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37294663›Full record

SynthesisThe oncologist2023

Prognostic Value of ctDNA Detection in Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Lele Chang, Xuemei Zhang, Lei He, Qian Ma, Tianyuan Fang, Chengzhi Jiang, Zhigang Ma, Qingwei Li, Chunlong Wu, Ji Tao

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The oncologist, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.5field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Practical integration of ctDNA-defined minimal residual disease in gastrointestinal cancers: testing windows and evidence-aligned management frameworks.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Lele ChangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-1305-9058
Xuemei ZhangDepartment of Thoracic Radiotherapy, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Lei HeDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Qian MaDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Tianyuan FangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Chengzhi JiangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Zhigang MaDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Qingwei LiDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Chunlong WuDepartment of Endoscopic Room, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Ji TaoDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital, Harbin, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0001-8375-0744
Harbin Medical University · CN

Funding

Wu Jieping Medical Foundation 320.6750.2021-16-20
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCirculating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly used as a biomarker for metastatic rectal cancer and has recently shown promising results in the early detection of recurrence risk.

methodsWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore the prognostic value of ctDNA detection in LARC patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). We systematically searched electronic databases for observational or interventional studies that included LARC patients undergoing nCRT. Study selection according to the PRISMA guidelines and quality assessment of the REMARK tool for biomarker studies. The primary endpoint was the impact of ctDNA detection at different time points (baseline, post-nCRT, post-surgery) on relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The secondary endpoint was to study the association between ctDNA detection and pathological complete response(pCR) at different time points.

resultsAfter further review and analysis of the 625 articles initially retrieved, we finally included 10 eligible studies. We found no significant correlation between ctDNA detection at baseline and long-term survival outcomes or the probability of achieving a pCR. However, the presence of ctDNA at post-nCRT was associated with worse RFS (HR = 9.16, 95% CI, 5.48-15.32), worse OS (HR = 8.49, 95% CI, 2.20-32.72), and worse pCR results (OR = 0.40, 95%CI, 0.18-0.89). The correlation between the presence of ctDNA at post-surgery and worse RFS was more obvious (HR = 14.94; 95% CI, 7.48-9.83).

conclusionsOur results suggest that ctDNA detection is a promising biomarker for the evaluation of response and prognosis in LARC patients undergoing nCRT, which merits further evaluation in the following prospective trials.

Indexed as

Neoadjuvant TherapyRectal NeoplasmsBiomarkers, TumorChemoradiotherapyHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisProspective StudiesBiomarkers, Tumorcirculating tumor DNAliquid biopsylocally advanced rectal cancerneoadjuvant chemoradiotherapyprognosissystematic review

Identifiers

PMID37294663
PMCPMC10712909
OpenAlexW4380090014

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.