Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37294324›Full record

ArticleJournal of neurology2023

Risk and protective factors in Parkinson's disease: a simultaneous and prospective study with classical statistical and novel machine learning models.

Alessandro Gialluisi, Maria Ilenia De Bartolo, Simona Costanzo, Daniele Belvisi, Stefania Falciglia, Moreno Ricci, Augusto Di Castelnuovo, Teresa Panzera, Maria Benedetta Donati, Giovanni Fabbrini and 3 more

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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of neurology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Alessandro Gialluisi *Department of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Maria Ilenia De Bartolo *IRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Simona CostanzoDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Daniele BelvisiIRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Stefania FalcigliaUOC Governance del Farmaco, Azienda Sanitaria Regionale del Molise -ASREM, Campobasso, Italy.
Moreno RicciUOC Governance del Farmaco, Azienda Sanitaria Regionale del Molise -ASREM, Campobasso, Italy.
Augusto Di CastelnuovoMediterranea Cardiocentro, Naples, Italy.
Teresa PanzeraDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Maria Benedetta DonatiDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Giovanni FabbriniIRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Giovanni de GaetanoDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Alfredo BerardelliIRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy. alfredo.berardelli@uniroma1.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3598-3142
Licia IacovielloDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS NEUROMED, Pozzilli, Italy.
Istituto Neurologico Mediterraneo · ITUniversity of Insubria · ITUniversity of Molise · ITClinica Mediterranea · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSeveral environmental/lifestyle factors have been individually investigated in previous Parkinson's disease (PD) studies with controversial results. No study has prospectively and simultaneously investigated potential risk/protective factors of PD using both classical statistical and novel machine learning analyses. The latter may reveal more complex associations and new factors that are undetected by merely linear models. To fill this gap, we simultaneously investigated potential risk/protective factors involved in PD in a large prospective population study using both approaches.

methodsParticipants in the Moli-sani study were enrolled between 2005 and 2010 and followed up until December 2018. Incident PD cases were identified by individual-level record linkage to regional hospital discharge forms, the Italian death registry, and the regional prescription register. Exposure to potential risk/protective factors was assessed at baseline. Multivariable Cox Proportional Hazards (PH) regression models and survival random forests (SRF) were built to identify the most influential factors.

resultsWe identified 213 incident PD cases out of 23,901 subjects. Cox PH models revealed that age, sex, dysthyroidism and diabetes were associated with an increased risk of PD. Both hyper and hypothyroidism were independently associated with PD risk. SRF showed that age was the most influential factor in PD risk, followed by coffee intake, daily physical activity, and hypertension.

conclusionThis study sheds light on the role of dysthyroidism, diabetes and hypertension in PD onset, characterized to date by an uncertain relationship with PD, and also confirms the relevance of most factors (age, sex, coffee intake, daily physical activity) reportedly shown be associated with PD. Further methodological developments in SRF models will allow to untangle the nature of the potential non-linear relationships identified.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusHypertensionParkinson DiseaseCoffeeHumansProspective StudiesProtective FactorsRisk FactorsCoffeeMachine learningParkinson’s diseaseProspective studyRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID37294324
OpenAlexW4379967119

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.