ArticleNature communications2023
Northern expansion is not compensating for southern declines in North American boreal forests.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Tree growth response and adaptation to climate change and climate extremes: From canopy to stem.Journal of integrative plant biology · 2026Review
- Northward expansion of high-stature vegetation reveals net surface-cooling feedbacks in the majority of Canadian Boreal-Tundra ecozones.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Projected compositional reorganization of Southern plant assemblages in South Korea under climate scenarios using species distribution models.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Asymmetric sensitivity of boreal forest resilience to forest gain and loss.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Shifting equilibria in a warming boreal forest.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Boreal forests are heading for an open state.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Extreme Events Contributing to Tipping Elements and Tipping Points.Surveys in geophysics · 2025Review
- Substantial carbon removal capacity of Taiga reforestation and afforestation at Canada's boreal edge.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Warming and disturbances affect Arctic-boreal vegetation resilience across northwestern North America.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Article
- A shift in transitional forests of the North American boreal will persist through 2100.Communications earth & environment · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change is expected to shift the boreal biome northward through expansion at the northern and contraction at the southern boundary respectively. However, biome-scale evidence of such a shift is rare. Here, we used remotely-sensed tree cover data to quantify temporal changes across the North American boreal biome from 2000 to 2019. We reveal a strong north-south asymmetry in tree cover change, coupled with a range shrinkage of tree cover distributions. We found no evidence for tree cover expansion in the northern biome, while tree cover increased markedly in the core of the biome range. By contrast, tree cover declined along the southern biome boundary, where losses were related largely to wildfires and timber logging. We show that these contrasting trends are structural indicators for a possible onset of a biome contraction which may lead to long-term carbon declines.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.