Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37273702›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in neurology2023

An online survival predictor in glioma patients using machine learning based on WHO CNS5 data.

Liguo Ye, Lingui Gu, Zhiyao Zheng, Xin Zhang, Hao Xing, Xiaopeng Guo, Wenlin Chen, Yaning Wang, Yuekun Wang, Tingyu Liang and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in neurology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Liguo YeDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Lingui GuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Zhiyao ZhengDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Xin ZhangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Hao XingDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Xiaopeng GuoDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Wenlin ChenDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yaning WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yuekun WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Tingyu LiangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Hai WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yilin LiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Shanmu JinDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yixin ShiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Delin LiuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Tianrui YangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Qianshu LiuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Congcong DengDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yu WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Wenbin MaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Center for Malignant Brain Tumors, National Glioma MDT Alliance, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The World Health Organization (WHO) CNS5 classification system highlights the significance of molecular biomarkers in providing meaningful prognostic and therapeutic information for gliomas. However, predicting individual patient survival remains challenging due to the lack of integrated quantitative assessment tools. In this study, we aimed to design a WHO CNS5-related risk signature to predict the overall survival (OS) rate of glioma patients using machine learning algorithms. Methods: We extracted data from patients who underwent an operation for histopathologically confirmed glioma from our hospital database (2011-2022) and split them into a training and hold-out test set in a 7/3 ratio. We used biological markers related to WHO CNS5, clinical data (age, sex, and WHO grade), and prognosis follow-up information to identify prognostic factors and construct a predictive dynamic nomograph to predict the survival rate of glioma patients using 4 kinds machine learning algorithms (RF, SVM, XGB, and GLM). Results: A total of 198 patients with complete WHO5 molecular data and follow-up information were included in the study. The median OS time of all patients was 29.77 [95% confidence interval (CI): 21.19-38.34] months. Age, FGFR2, IDH1, CDK4, CDK6, KIT, and CDKN2A were considered vital indicators related to the prognosis and OS time of glioma. To better predict the prognosis of glioma patients, we constructed a WHO5-related risk signature and nomogram. The AUC values of the ROC curves of the nomogram for predicting the 1, 3, and 5-year OS were 0.849, 0.835, and 0.821 in training set, and, 0.844, 0.943, and 0.959 in validation set. The calibration plot confirmed the reliability of the nomogram, and the c-index was 0.742 in training set and 0.775 in validation set. Additionally, our nomogram showed a superior net benefit across a broader scale of threshold probabilities in decision curve analysis. Therefore, we selected it as the backend for the online survival prediction tool (Glioma Survival Calculator, https://who5pumch.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/), which can calculate the survival probability for a specific time of the patients. Conclusion: An online prognosis predictor based on WHO5-related biomarkers was constructed. This therapeutically promising tool may increase the precision of forecast therapy outcomes and assess prognosis.

Indexed as

gliomamachine learningpredictive analyticsprognosisWHO CNS5

Identifiers

PMID37273702
PMCPMC10237015

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.