Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37270651›Full record

ArticleCommunications biology2023

Century-long butterfly range expansions in northern Europe depend on climate, land use and species traits.

Johanna Sunde, Markus Franzén, Per-Eric Betzholtz, Yannick Francioli, Lars B Pettersson, Juha Pöyry, Nils Ryrholm, Anders Forsman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications biology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  9. The genome sequence of the Poplar Admiral,Wellcome open research · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Effects of nocturnal celestial illumination on high-flying migrant insects.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Johanna SundeDepartment of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, SE-39182, Kalmar, Sweden. johanna.sunde@lnu.se.ORCID 0000-0002-3145-1475
Markus FranzénDepartment of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, SE-39182, Kalmar, Sweden.
Per-Eric BetzholtzDepartment of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, SE-39182, Kalmar, Sweden.
Yannick FrancioliDepartment of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, SE-39182, Kalmar, Sweden.
Lars B PetterssonBiodiversity Unit, Department of Biology, Lund University, SE-22362, Lund, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-5745-508X
Juha PöyryFinnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Nature Solutions, Latokartanonkaari 11, FI-00790, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-5548-1046
Nils RyrholmDepartment of Electronics, Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Faculty of Engineering and Sustainable Development, University of Gävle, SE-80176, Gävle, Sweden.
Anders ForsmanDepartment of Biology and Environmental Science, Linnaeus University, SE-39182, Kalmar, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9598-7618

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is an important driver of range shifts and community composition changes. Still, little is known about how the responses are influenced by the combination of land use, species interactions and species traits. We integrate climate and distributional data for 131 butterfly species in Sweden and Finland and show that cumulative species richness has increased with increasing temperature over the past 120 years. Average provincial species richness increased by 64% (range 15-229%), from 46 to 70. The rate and direction of range expansions have not matched the temperature changes, in part because colonisations have been modified by other climatic variables, land use and vary according to species characteristics representing ecological generalisation and species interactions. Results emphasise the role of a broad ecological filtering, whereby a mismatch between environmental conditions and species preferences limit the ability to disperse and establish populations in emerging climates and novel areas, with potentially widespread implications for ecosystem functioning.

Indexed as

ButterfliesEcosystemAnimalsEuropeFinlandSweden

Identifiers

PMID37270651
PMCPMC10239521

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.