Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37270474›Full record

SynthesisBMC infectious diseases2023

Declining incidence rate of tuberculosis among close contacts in five years post-exposure: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Ying Du, Yijun He, Haoran Zhang, Fei Shen, Ling Guan, Henan Xin, Yongpeng He, Xuefang Cao, Boxuan Feng, Zhusheng Quan and 2 more

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Ying Du *Beijing Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
Yijun He *NHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
Haoran Zhang *NHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
Fei ShenThe Sixth People's Hospital of Zhengzhou, Zhengzhou, 400060, China.
Ling GuanThe Sixth People's Hospital of Zhengzhou, Zhengzhou, 400060, China.
Henan XinNHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
Yongpeng HeNHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
Xuefang CaoNHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
Boxuan FengNHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
Zhusheng QuanNHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China.
Jianmin LiuThe Sixth People's Hospital of Zhengzhou, Zhengzhou, 400060, China.
Lei GaoNHC Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens, Institute of Pathogen Biology, and Center for Tuberculosis Research, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, No 9 Dong Dan San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China. gaolei@ipbcams.ac.cn.

Funding

CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS) 2019-I2M-2-005National Science and Technology Major Project 2017ZX10201302-002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIndividuals in close contact with active pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) patients showed a high risk of recent infection and, once infected, higher risk of developing active TB in the following years post-exposure. But the peak time of active disease onset is unclear. This study aims to estimate post exposure TB incidence risk among close contacts to provide reference for clinical and public health strategies.

methodsWe searched PubMed, Web of Science, and EMBASE for articles published until December 1, 2022. The incidence rates were quantitatively summarized by means of meta-analysis using the random-effect model.

resultsOf the 5616 studies, 31 studies included in our analysis. For baseline close contacts results, the summarized prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) infection and active TB was found to be 46.30% (95% CI: 37.18%-55.41%) and 2.68% (95% CI: 2.02%-3.35%), respectively. During the follow-up, the 1-year, 2-year and 5-year cumulative incidence of TB in close contacts were 2.15% (95% CI: 1.51%-2.80%), 1.21% (95% CI: 0.93%-1.49%) and 1.11% (95% CI: 0.64%-1.58%), respectively. Individuals with a positive result of MTB infection testing at baseline showed significantly higher cumulative TB incidence as compared to those negatives (3.80% vs. 0.82%, p < 0.001).

conclusionsIndividuals with close contact to active pulmonary TB patients are bearing significant risk of developing active TB, particularly within the first-year post-exposure. Population with recent infections should be an important priority for active case finding and preventive intervention worldwide.

Indexed as

Mycobacterium tuberculosisTuberculosisTuberculosis, PulmonaryContact TracingHumansIncidenceClose contactIncidenceMeta-analysisPost-ExposureTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID37270474
PMCPMC10239604

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.