Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37260165›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2023

Lung cancer risk discrimination of prediagnostic proteomics measurements compared with existing prediction tools.

Xiaoshuang Feng, Wendy Yi-Ying Wu, Justina Ucheojor Onwuka, Zahra Haider, Karine Alcala, Karl Smith-Byrne, Hana Zahed, Florence Guida, Renwei Wang, Julie K Bassett and 28 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Risk prediction for lung cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-regression.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Data Resource Profile: The HUNT Biobank.International journal of epidemiology · 2024
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

38 authors.

Xiaoshuang FengGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-7933-3996
Wendy Yi-Ying WuDepartment of Radiation Sciences, Oncology, Umea University, Umea, Sweden.
Justina Ucheojor OnwukaGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Zahra HaiderDepartment of Radiation Sciences, Oncology, Umea University, Umea, Sweden.
Karine AlcalaGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Karl Smith-ByrneCancer Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Hana ZahedGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Florence GuidaEnvironment and Lifestyle Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Renwei WangDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Julie K BassettCancer Epidemiology Division, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Victoria StevensRollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Ying WangAmerican Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Stephanie WeinsteinMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Neal D FreedmanMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Chu ChenProgram in Epidemiology, Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
Lesley TinkerWomen's Health Initiative Clinical Coordinating Center, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
Therese Haugdahl NøstDepartment of Community Medicine, University of Tromsø, The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Woon-Puay KohHealthy Longevity Translational Research Programme, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
David MullerDivision of Genetic Medicine, Imperial College London School of Public Health, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2350-0417
Sandra M Colorado-YoharDepartment of Epidemiology, Murcia Regional Health Council, IMIB-Arrixaca, Murcia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-6700-0780
Rosario TuminoHyblean Association for Epidemiological Research, AIRE ONLUS Ragusa, Ragusa, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2666-414X
Rayjean J HungProsserman Centre for Population Health Research, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Christopher I AmosInstitute for Clinical and Translational Research, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8540-7023
Xihong LinDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7067-7752
Xuehong ZhangBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Alan A ArslanDepartment of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Maria-Jose SánchezCentro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-4817-0757
Elin Pettersen SørgjerdHUNT Research Centre, Department of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Levanger, Norway.
Gianluca SeveriInserm, Université Paris-Saclay, Villejuif, France.
Kristian HveemHUNT Research Centre, Department of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Levanger, Norway.
Paul BrennanGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-0518-8714
Arnulf LanghammerHUNT Research Centre, Department of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Levanger, Norway.
Roger L MilneCancer Epidemiology Division, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5764-7268
Jian-Min YuanDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7664-7084
Beatrice MelinDepartment of Radiation Sciences, Oncology, Umea University, Umea, Sweden.
Mikael JohanssonDepartment of Radiation Sciences, Oncology, Umea University, Umea, Sweden.
Hilary A RobbinsGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Mattias JohanssonGenomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3116-5081

Funding

PLCO Trial Etiologic and Early Marker StudyZIACP010152 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI MOORE, STEVEN · 2009 to 2025
$29.9M
Translating Molecular and Clinical Data to Population Lung Cancer Risk AssessmentU19CA203654 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI Christopher I. Amos · 2017 to 2026
$23.7M
Prospective studies of cancer etiology and prevention in Shanghai and SingaporeR01CA144034 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 2010 to 2014
$7.0M
THE SINGAPORE COHORT STUDY OF DIET AND CANCERR01CA080205 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 1999 to 2009
$5.3M
Cancer epidemiology cohorts in Shanghai and Singapore UM1CA182876 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 2014 to 2018
$4.3M
The Lung EArly Proteins project: A LEAP toward implementing biomarkers in lung cancer screeningR01CA262164 · NCI · INTERNATIONAL AGENCY FOR RES ON CANCER · PI ROBBINS, HILARY A. · 2022 to 2025
$2.0M
Evaluating risk prediction models for use in lung cancer screening in diverse populations around the worldR03CA245979 · NCI · INTERNATIONAL AGENCY FOR RES ON CANCER · PI ROBBINS, HILARY A. · 2020 to 2020
$112k
Cancer Research UK 14136Cancer Research UK 29017Cancer Research UK C18281/A29019Cancer Research UK C8221/A29017Medical Research Council 1000143Medical Research Council MR/M012190/1NCI NIH HHS R01 CA080205NCI NIH HHS R01 CA144034NCI NIH HHS R01 CA262164NCI NIH HHS R03 CA245979NCI NIH HHS U19 CA203654NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA182876World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe sought to develop a proteomics-based risk model for lung cancer and evaluate its risk-discriminatory performance in comparison with a smoking-based risk model (PLCOm2012) and a commercially available autoantibody biomarker test.

methodsWe designed a case-control study nested in 6 prospective cohorts, including 624 lung cancer participants who donated blood samples at most 3 years prior to lung cancer diagnosis and 624 smoking-matched cancer free participants who were assayed for 302 proteins. We used 470 case-control pairs from 4 cohorts to select proteins and train a protein-based risk model. We subsequently used 154 case-control pairs from 2 cohorts to compare the risk-discriminatory performance of the protein-based model with that of the Early Cancer Detection Test (EarlyCDT)-Lung and the PLCOm2012 model using receiver operating characteristics analysis and by estimating models' sensitivity. All tests were 2-sided.

resultsThe area under the curve for the protein-based risk model in the validation sample was 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.70 to 0.81) compared with 0.64 (95% CI = 0.57 to 0.70) for the PLCOm2012 model (Pdifference = .001). The EarlyCDT-Lung had a sensitivity of 14% (95% CI = 8.2% to 19%) and a specificity of 86% (95% CI = 81% to 92%) for incident lung cancer. At the same specificity of 86%, the sensitivity for the protein-based risk model was estimated at 49% (95% CI = 41% to 57%) and 30% (95% CI = 23% to 37%) for the PLCOm2012 model.

conclusionCirculating proteins showed promise in predicting incident lung cancer and outperformed a standard risk prediction model and the commercialized EarlyCDT-Lung.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsProteomicsCase-Control StudiesEarly Detection of CancerHumansLungProspective StudiesRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID37260165
PMCPMC10483263

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.