Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37257941›Full record

ArticleJournal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines2024

Kindergarten conduct problems are associated with monetized outcomes in adolescence and adulthood.

Natalie Goulter, Yoon S Hur, Damon E Jones, Jennifer Godwin, Robert J McMahon, Kenneth A Dodge, Jennifer E Lansford, John E Lochman, John E Bates, Gregory S Pettit and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
10.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Evidence Base Update on the Assessment of Irritability, Anger, and Aggression in Youth.Journal of clinical child and adolescent psychology : the official journal for the Society of Clinical Child and Adolescent Psychology, American Psychological Association, Division 53
    Pooled it
  2. Fast Track Intervention Effects and Mechanisms of Action Through Established Adulthood.Prevention science : the official journal of the Society for Prevention Research · 2025
    Trial
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Natalie GoulterNewcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0682-7781
Yoon S HurPennsylvania State University, State College, PA, USA.
Damon E JonesPennsylvania State University, State College, PA, USA.
Jennifer GodwinDuke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Robert J McMahonSimon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada.
Kenneth A DodgeDuke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Jennifer E LansfordDuke University, Durham, NC, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1956-4917
John E LochmanUniversity of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, USA.
John E BatesIndiana University, Bloomington, IN, USA.
Gregory S PettitAuburn University, Auburn, AL, USA.
D Max CrowleyPennsylvania State University, State College, PA, USA.
Duke University · USPennsylvania State University · USSimon Fraser University · CAAuburn University · USIndiana University Bloomington · USUniversity of Alabama · US

Funding

TRANSLATION AND DISSEMINATION COREP30DA023026 · NIDA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI HOYLE, RICK · 2008 to 2023
$19.6M
Optimizing Prevention of Costly Adult OutcomesR01DA016903 · NIDA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CROWLEY, DANIEL MAX, DODGE, KENNETH A · 2003 to 2019
$10.2M
Vulnerability to Drug Abuse:Pathways to RecoveryR01DA011301 · NIDA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI COSTELLO, ELIZABETH JANE · 1997 to 2015
$7.3M
Intervention Impacts on Child Wellbeing and Parenting across GenerationsR01HD093651 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI KENNETH A DODGE, Jennifer E Lansford · 2017 to 2026
$6.1M
MULTISITE PREVENTION OF CONDUCT PROBLEMSR18MH048043 · NIMH · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI DODGE, KENNETH A · 1990 to 2002
$5.8M
MULTISITE PREVENTION OF CONDUCT DISORDERSR18MH050951 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI MCMAHON, ROBERT J. · 1993 to 2002
$3.7M
MULTISITE PREVENTION OF CONDUCT DISORDERR18MH050952 · NIMH · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI PINDERHUGHES, ELLEN E · 1993 to 2002
$3.7M
MULTISITE PREVENTION OF CONDUCT DISORDERR18MH050953 · NIMH · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY-UNIV PARK · PI BIERMAN, KAREN L · 1993 to 2002
$3.5M
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE FAST TRACK INTERVENTIONR01MH062988 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI FOSTER, EDWARD MICHAEL · 2002 to 2007
$2.8M
HOW CHRONIC CONDUCT PROBLEMS DEVELOPR01MH056961 · NIMH · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI DODGE, KENNETH A · 1998 to 2008
$1.9M
HOW CHRONIC CONDUCT PROBLEMS DEVELOPR01MH057024 · NIMH · TRUSTEES OF INDIANA UNIVERSITY · PI BATES, JOHN E · 1998 to 2008
$1.7M
Diseases of Despair in Young Adulthood: Risk, Resilience, and PreventionR01MH117559 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI COPELAND, WILLIAM · 2018 to 2021
$1.6M
CSAP SAMHSA HHSNICHD NIH HHS R01 HD030572NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD093651NIDA NIH HHSNIDA NIH HHS K05 DA015226NIDA NIH HHS P30 DA023026NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA011301NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA016903NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA036523NIDA NIH HHS RC1 DA028248NIMH NIH HHSNIMH NIH HHS K05 MH000797NIMH NIH HHS K05 MH001027NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH056961NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH057024NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH057095NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH062988NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH117559NIMH NIH HHS R18 MH048043NIMH NIH HHS R18 MH050951NIMH NIH HHS R18 MH050952NIMH NIH HHS R18 MH050953
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcross several sites in the United States, we examined whether kindergarten conduct problems among mostly population-representative samples of children were associated with increased criminal and related (criminal + lost offender productivity + victim; described as criminal + victim hereafter) costs across adolescence and adulthood, as well as government and medical services costs in adulthood.

methodsParticipants (N = 1,339) were from two multisite longitudinal studies: Fast Track (n = 754) and the Child Development Project (n = 585). Parents and teachers reported on kindergarten conduct problems, administrative and national database records yielded indexes of criminal offending, and participants self-reported their government and medical service use. Outcomes were assigned costs, and significant associations were adjusted for inflation to determine USD 2020 costs.

resultsA 1SD increase in kindergarten conduct problems was associated with a $21,934 increase in adolescent criminal + victim costs, a $63,998 increase in adult criminal + victim costs, a $12,753 increase in medical services costs, and a $146,279 increase in total costs. In the male sample, a 1SD increase in kindergarten conduct problems was associated with a $28,530 increase in adolescent criminal + victim costs, a $58,872 increase in adult criminal + victim costs, and a $144,140 increase in total costs. In the female sample, a 1SD increase in kindergarten conduct problems was associated with a $15,481 increase in adolescent criminal + victim costs, a $62,916 increase in adult criminal + victim costs, a $24,105 increase in medical services costs, and a $144,823 increase in total costs.

conclusionsThis investigation provides evidence of the long-term costs associated with early-starting conduct problems, which is important information that can be used by policymakers to support research and programs investing in a strong start for children.

Indexed as

Conduct DisorderProblem BehaviorAdolescentAdultChildEducational StatusFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleSelf ReportUnited StatesConduct problemscriminal costsgovernment services costslongitudinalmedical services costsvictim costs

Identifiers

PMID37257941
PMCPMC10687301
OpenAlexW4378908717

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.