Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37255113›Full record

ArticleRevista de saude publica2023

Covid-19 hospital mortality using spatial hierarchical models: cohort design with 74,994 registers.

Francisco Chiaravalloti Neto, Patricia Marques Moralejo Bermudi, Breno Souza de Aguiar, Marcelo Antunes Failla, Ligia Vizeu Barrozo, Tatiana Natasha Toporcov

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Revista de saude publica, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Francisco Chiaravalloti NetoUniversidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Saude Publica. São Paulo, SP, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2686-8740
Patricia Marques Moralejo BermudiUniversidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Saude Publica. São Paulo, SP, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5825-6389
Breno Souza de AguiarSecretaria Municipal da Saúde de São Paulo. Coordenação de Epidemiologia e Informação. São Paulo, SP, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6621-228X
Marcelo Antunes FaillaSecretaria Municipal da Saúde de São Paulo. Coordenação de Epidemiologia e Informação. São Paulo, SP, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9004-7309
Ligia Vizeu BarrozoUniversidade de Sao Paulo. Faculdade de Filosofia, Letras e Ciências Humanas. São Paulo, SP, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7322-6789
Tatiana Natasha ToporcovUniversidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Saude Publica. São Paulo, SP, Brasil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8929-5137

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate the relationship between covid-19 hospital mortality and risk factors, innovating by considering contextual and individual factors and spatial dependency and using data from the city of São Paulo, Brazil.

methodsThe study was performed with a spatial hierarchical retrospective cohort design using secondary data (individuals and contextual data) from hospitalized patients and their geographic unit residences. The study period corresponded to the first year of the pandemic, from February 25, 2020 to February 24, 2021. Mortality was modeled with the Bayesian context, Bernoulli probability distribution, and the integrated nested Laplace approximations. The demographic, distal, medial, and proximal covariates were considered.

resultsWe found that per capita income, a contextual covariate, was a protective factor (odds ratio: 0.76 [95% credible interval: 0.74-0.78]). After adjusting for income, the other adjustments revealed no differences in spatial dependence. Without income inequality in São Paulo, the spatial risk of death would be close to one in the city. Other factors associated with high covid-19 hospital mortality were male sex, advanced age, comorbidities, ventilation, treatment in public healthcare settings, and experiencing the first covid-19 symptoms between January 24 and February 24, 2021.

conclusionsOther than sex and age differences, geographic income inequality was the main factor responsible for the spatial differences in the risk of covid-19 hospital mortality. Investing in public policies to reduce socioeconomic inequities, infection prevention, and other intersectoral measures should focus on lower per capita income, to control covid-19 hospital mortality.

Indexed as

COVID-19Bayes TheoremBrazilFemaleHospital MortalityHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID37255113
PMCPMC10185308

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.