Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37252949›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Ecological barriers mediate spatiotemporal shifts of bird communities at a continental scale.

Emma-Liina Marjakangas, Laura Bosco, Martijn Versluijs, Yanjie Xu, Andrea Santangeli, Sari Holopainen, Sanna Mäkeläinen, Sergi Herrando, Verena Keller, Petr Voříšek and 40 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Providing regular and frequent maps of losses and gains of farmland birds based on European monitoring data.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Range and climate niche shifts in European and North American breeding birds.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Significant shifts in latitudinal optima of North American birds.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

50 authors.

Emma-Liina MarjakangasFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-5245-3779
Laura BoscoFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-6616-2641
Martijn VersluijsFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.
Yanjie XuFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-4420-6353
Andrea SantangeliFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-0273-1977
Sari HolopainenFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.
Sanna MäkeläinenFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.
Sergi HerrandoEuropean Bird Census Council, Beek-Ubbergen 6573, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5153-7970
Verena KellerEuropean Bird Census Council, Beek-Ubbergen 6573, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5905-8739
Petr VoříšekEuropean Bird Census Council, Beek-Ubbergen 6573, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8940-0507
Lluís BrotonsSpanish National Research Council, 28006 Madrid, Spain.
Alison JohnstonCentre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling, University of St Andrews, St Andrews KY16 9AJ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8221-013X
Karine PrincéMuséum national d'histoire naturelle, 7204 Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation, 75005 Paris, France.
Stephen G WillisDepartment of Biosciences, Conservation Ecology Group, Durham University, Durham DH1 3LE, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8656-5808
Karen AghababyanBirdLinks Armenia, Yerevan 0051, Armenia.ORCID 0000-0002-8464-9645
Vitalie AjderSociety for Birds and Nature Protection, Leova MD-6321, Republic of Moldova.
Dawn E BalmerBritish Trust for Ornithology, Thetford, Norfolk IP24 2PU, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1947-0083
Taulant BinoAlbanian Ornithological Society, Tirana 1004, Albania.
Kerem Ali BoylaKAB Ecology Co., Sisli, Istanbul 34381, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0003-4502-5159
Tomasz ChodkiewiczMuseum and Institute of Zoology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa 00-679, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-9342-2370
Juan Carlos Del MoralSociedad Española de Ornitología/BirdLife, 28053 Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-2769-2900
Vlatka Dumbović MazalInstitute for Environment and Nature, Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia.ORCID 0000-0002-3737-4239
Alessandro FerrariniBirdLife Italia, 43122 Parma, Italy.
Carlos GodinhoMediterranean Institute for Agriculture, Environment and Development, Labor Laboratory of Ornithology, Universidade de Évora, Pólo da Mitra, 7002-554 Évora, Portugal.ORCID 0000-0001-8892-6315
Marco GustinBirdLife Italia, 43122 Parma, Italy.
Mikhail KalyakinEuropean Bird Census Council, Beek-Ubbergen 6573, Netherlands.
Peter KnausSwiss Ornithological Institute, 6204 Sempach, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-8165-2139
Tatiana KuzmenkoSwiss Ornithological Institute, 6204 Sempach, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-6926-3966
Åke LindströmDepartment of Biology, Biodiversity Unit, Lund University, Lund SE-22362, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-5597-6209
Qenan MaxhuniUniversity of Gjakova "Fehmi Agani", 50 000 Gjakova, Kosova.ORCID 0000-0002-2493-6714
Blas MolinaSociedad Española de Ornitología/BirdLife, 28053 Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0009-0009-3669-0537
Károly NagyMagyar Madártani és Természetvédelmi Egyesület BirdLife Hungary, 1536 Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0009-0001-9758-4211
Dimitrije RadišićDepartment of Biology and Ecology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0003-2716-9829
Saša RajkovCenter for Biodiversity Research, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-5063-2044
Draženko Z RajkovićCenter for Biodiversity Research, 21000 Novi Sad, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-2626-0076
Liutauras RaudonikiLithuanian Ornithological Society, LT-03208 Vilnius, Lithuania.
Jovica SjeničićSociety for Research and Protection of Biodiversity, 78 000 Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina.ORCID 0000-0002-2776-1665
Stoycho StoychevBulgarian Society for the Protection of Birds/BirdLife in Bulgaria, Sofia 1111, Bulgaria.ORCID 0000-0002-0697-8259
Tibor SzépUniversity of Nyíregyháza, Nyíregyháza 4400, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0002-4569-7425
Norbert TeufelbauerBirdLife Österreich, A-1070 Wien, Austria.
Silvia UrsulSociety for Birds and Nature Protection, Leova MD-6321, Republic of Moldova.
Chris A M van TurnhoutSovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, 6503 GA Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Metodija VelevskiMacedonian Ecological Society, 1000 Skopje, North Macedonia.ORCID 0000-0003-4266-1897
Thomas VikstrømZoological Museum of Lomonosov, Moscow State University, Moscow 125009, Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-6177-3440
Tomasz WilkPolish Society for the Protection of Birds, 05-270 Marki, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-2837-7219
Olga VoltzitDansk Ornitologisk Forening - BirdLife Denmark, 1620 Copenhagen V, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-4598-2071
Ingar Jostein ØienBirdLife Norway, NO-7012 Trondheim, Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-0986-2726
Christoph SudfeldtDachverband Deutscher Avifaunisten - Federation of German Avifaunists, D-48157, Münster, Germany.
Bettina GerlachDachverband Deutscher Avifaunisten - Federation of German Avifaunists, D-48157, Münster, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1994-504X
Aleksi LehikoinenFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-1989-277X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Species' range shifts and local extinctions caused by climate change lead to community composition changes. At large spatial scales, ecological barriers, such as biome boundaries, coastlines, and elevation, can influence a community's ability to shift in response to climate change. Yet, ecological barriers are rarely considered in climate change studies, potentially hindering predictions of biodiversity shifts. We used data from two consecutive European breeding bird atlases to calculate the geographic distance and direction between communities in the 1980s and their compositional best match in the 2010s and modeled their response to barriers. The ecological barriers affected both the distance and direction of bird community composition shifts, with coastlines and elevation having the strongest influence. Our results underscore the relevance of combining ecological barriers and community shift projections for identifying the forces hindering community adjustments under global change. Notably, due to (macro)ecological barriers, communities are not able to track their climatic niches, which may lead to drastic changes, and potential losses, in community compositions in the future.

Indexed as

BirdsEcosystemAnimalsBiodiversityClimate ChangeForecastingcommunity compositiondistribution shiftJaccard dissimilaritymacroecologyresistance

Identifiers

PMID37252949
PMCPMC10266007

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.