Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37243286›Full record

ArticleViruses2023

A COVID-19 Infection Model Considering the Factors of Environmental Vectors and Re-Positives and Its Application to Data Fitting in Japan and Italy.

Shimeng Dong, Jinlong Lv, Wanbiao Ma, Boralahala Gamage Sampath Aruna Pradeep

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Shimeng DongDepartment of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China.
Jinlong LvDepartment of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China.
Wanbiao MaDepartment of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematics and Physics, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8204-6448
Boralahala Gamage Sampath Aruna PradeepDepartment of Mathematics, University of Ruhuna, Matara 81000, Sri Lanka.ORCID 0000-0003-0582-1492

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

COVID-19, which broke out globally in 2019, is an infectious disease caused by a novel strain of coronavirus, and its spread is highly contagious and concealed. Environmental vectors play an important role in viral infection and transmission, which brings new difficulties and challenges to disease prevention and control. In this paper, a type of differential equation model is constructed according to the spreading functions and characteristics of exposed individuals and environmental vectors during the virus infection process. In the proposed model, five compartments were considered, namely, susceptible individuals, exposed individuals, infected individuals, recovered individuals, and environmental vectors (contaminated with free virus particles). In particular, the re-positive factor was taken into account (i.e., recovered individuals who have lost sufficient immune protection may still return to the exposed class). With the basic reproduction number R0 of the model, the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and uniform persistence of the model were completely analyzed. Furthermore, sufficient conditions for the global stability of the endemic equilibrium of the model were also given. Finally, the effective predictability of the model was tested by fitting COVID-19 data from Japan and Italy.

Indexed as

Communicable DiseasesCOVID-19Basic Reproduction NumberHumansItalyJapanasymptomatic infection/re-positiveCOVID-19 infectiondata fittingenvironmental vectorstability

Identifiers

PMID37243286
PMCPMC10222407

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.