Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37228392›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2023

Risk of recurrent stroke in Rotterdam between 1990 and 2020: a population-based cohort study.

Bernhard P Berghout, Daniel Bos, Peter J Koudstaal, M Arfan Ikram, M Kamran Ikram

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. Motoric Cognitive Risk Syndrome and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: A Population-Based Study.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Bernhard P BerghoutDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Daniel BosDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Peter J KoudstaalDepartment of Neurology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
M Arfan IkramDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
M Kamran IkramDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Erasmus University Rotterdam · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: After an initial stroke, current clinical practice is aimed at preventing recurrent stroke. Thus far, population-based estimates on the risk of recurrent stroke remain scarce. Here we describe the risk of recurrent stroke in a population-based cohort study. Methods: We included Rotterdam Study participants who developed a first-ever incident stroke during follow-up between 1990 until 2020. During further follow-up, these participants were monitored for the occurrence of a recurrent stroke. We determined stroke subtypes based on clinical and imaging information. We calculated ten-year overall and sex-specific cumulative incidences of first recurrent stroke. To reflect changing secondary preventive strategies employed in recent decades, we then calculated the risk of recurrent stroke within ten-year epochs based on first-ever stroke date (1990-2000, 2000-2010 and 2010-2020). Findings: In total, 1701 participants (mean age 80.3 years, 59.8% women) from 14,163 community-living individuals suffered a first stroke between 1990 and 2020. Of these strokes, 1111 (65.3%) were ischaemic, 141 (8.3%) haemorrhagic, and 449 (26.4%) unspecified. During 6585.3 person-years of follow-up, 331 (19.5%) suffered a recurrent stroke, of which 178 (53.8%) were ischaemic, 34 (10.3%) haemorrhagic and 119 (36.0%) unspecified. Median time between first and recurrent stroke was 1.8 (interquartile range 0.5-4.6) years. Overall ten-year recurrence risk following first-ever stroke was 18.0% (95% CI 16.2%-19.8%), 19.3% (16.3%-22.3%) in men and 17.1% (14.8%-19.4%) in women. Recurrent stroke risk declined over time, with a ten-year risk of 21.4% (17.9%-24.9%) between 1990 and 2000 and 11.0% (8.3%-13.8%) between 2010 and 2020. Interpretation: In this population-based study, almost one in five people with first-ever stroke suffered a recurrence within ten years of the initial stroke. Furthermore, recurrence risk declined between 2010 and 2020. Funding: Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development, EU's Horizon 2020 research programme and the Erasmus Medical Centre MRACE grant.

Indexed as

Incidence studiesRecurrenceStroke

Identifiers

PMID37228392
PMCPMC10205482
OpenAlexW4376875247

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.