ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2023
Relationship between Climate Variables and Dengue Incidence in Argentina.
Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed.
- Dengue Surge in Bangladesh: Exploring the Role of Climate Factors-A Narrative Review With Ecological Analysis.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Unrecognized Dengue Transmission in Socially Vulnerable Peri-Urban Neighborhoods of a Temperate Argentine City: Integrating Serology with Knowledge, Attitudes, and Practices.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Associations between weather and Plasmodium vivax malaria in an Amazonian elimination setting: a distributed lag analysis from 2017 to 2024.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Article
- Variations in annual dengue intensities are explained by temperature anomalies.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Habitat characteristics that favour the presence of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) in households in the city of Córdoba, a temperate area of Argentina.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Nonlinear and lagged effects of climate variability on dengue incidence in an urban megacity: a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) based study in Bangkok, Thailand.BMC public health · 2025Article
- A Scoping Review of Mosquito Vector Range Shifts: Widespread Expansions and Evidence Gaps in Climate Attribution.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Dengue fever in Bangladesh: rising trends, contributing factors, and public health implications.Tropical diseases, travel medicine and vaccines · 2025Review
- Unraveling regional variability in Dengue outbreaks in Brazil: leveraging the Moving Epidemics Method (MEM) and climate data to optimize vector control strategies.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Assessing dengue forecasting methods: a comparative study of statistical models and machine learning techniques in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.Tropical medicine and health · 2025Article
- A systematic review of climate-change driven range shifts in mosquito vectors.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025Article
- A nationwide joint spatial modelling of simultaneous epidemics of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika in Colombia.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Spatial patterns and clustering of dengue incidence in Mexico: Analysis of Moran's index across 2,471 municipalities from 2022 to 2024.PloS one · 2025Article
- Increased risks of mosquito-borne disease emergence in temperate regions of South America.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2024Article
- Article
- Associations between weather andmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Dengue Envelope Protein as a Cytotoxic Factor Inducing Hemorrhage and Endothelial Cell Death in Mice.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024Article
- Climate change, thermal anomalies, and the recent progression of dengue in Brazil.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Epidemiology of Dengue in Argentina during the 2010/11 to 2019/20 Seasons: A Contribution to the Burden of Disease.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundClimate change is an important driver of the increased spread of dengue from tropical and subtropical regions to temperate areas around the world. Climate variables such as temperature and precipitation influence the dengue vector's biology, physiology, abundance, and life cycle. Thus, an analysis is needed of changes in climate change and their possible relationships with dengue incidence and the growing occurrence of epidemics recorded in recent decades.
objectivesThis study aimed to assess the increasing incidence of dengue driven by climate change at the southern limits of dengue virus transmission in South America.
methodsWe analyzed the evolution of climatological, epidemiological, and biological variables by comparing a period of time without the presence of dengue cases (1976-1997) to a more recent period of time in which dengue cases and important outbreaks occurred (1998-2020). In our analysis, we consider climate variables associated with temperature and precipitation, epidemiological variables such as the number of reported dengue cases and incidence of dengue, and biological variables such as the optimal temperature ranges for transmission of dengue vector.
resultsThe presence of dengue cases and epidemic outbreaks are observed to be consistent with positive trends in temperature and anomalies from long-term means. Dengue cases do not seem to be associated with precipitation trends and anomalies. The number of days with optimal temperatures for dengue transmission increased from the period without dengue cases to the period with occurrences of dengue cases. The number of months with optimal transmission temperatures also increased between periods but to a lesser extent.
conclusionsThe higher incidence of dengue virus and its expansion to different regions of Argentina seem to be associated with temperature increases in the country during the past two decades. The active surveillance of both the vector and associated arboviruses, together with continued meteorological data collection, will facilitate the assessment and prediction of future epidemics that use trends in the accelerated changes in climate. Such surveillance should go hand in hand with efforts to improve the understanding of the mechanisms driving the geographic expansion of dengue and other arboviruses beyond the current limits. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11616.
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