Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37216898›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2024

Steady decrease in systemic sclerosis mortality rates at younger ages over the past five decades.

Eric Y Yen, Devanshu R Singh, Ram Raj Singh

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Eric Y YenDepartment of Medicine, University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Devanshu R SinghDepartment of Medicine, University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Ram Raj SinghDepartment of Medicine, University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6831-4538
University of California, Los Angeles · USJohns Hopkins University · US

Funding

HUMAN AND MOLECULAR DEVELOPMENT TRAINING PROGRAMT32HD007512 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI DEVASKAR, SHERIN U · 1998 to 2012
$2.6M
Gender Bias in Lupus: Contribution of Sex ChromosomesR01AR056465 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SINGH, RAM RAJ · 2008 to 2012
$2.3M
Pathogenesis of Lupus DermatitisR01AI080778 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SINGH, RAM RAJ · 2009 to 2013
$2.2M
NEPHROLOGY SCIENTIST TRAINING GRANTT32DK007789 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI KURTZ, IRA · 2000 to 2017
$1.5M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI080778NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR056465NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007512NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007789NIH HHS R01-AI080778NIH HHS T32-DK-07789
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe aimed to assess SSc mortality by age in the general population over the past five decades.

methodsThis is a population-based study using a national mortality database and the census data for all US residents. We calculated the proportions of deaths for SSc and for all other causes (non-SSc) by age, and calculated age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for SSc and non-SSc, and the ratio of SSc-ASMR to non-SSc-ASMR by age groups for each year from 1968 through 2015. We performed joinpoint regression to estimate the average annual percent change (AAPC) for each of these parameters.

resultsSSc was recorded as the underlying cause of death in 5457 decedents aged ≤44 years, 18 395 aged 45-64, and 22 946 aged ≥65 from 1968 through 2015. At ages ≤44, the proportion of annual deaths decreased more for SSc than for non-SSc: AAPC, -2.2% (95% CI, -2.4% to -2.0%) for SSc vs -1.5% (-1.9% to -1.1%) for non-SSc. Consistently, SSc-ASMR decreased from 1.0 (95% CI, 0.8-1.2) in 1968 to 0.4 (0.3-0.5) per million persons in 2015, a cumulative decrease of 60% at an AAPC of -1.9% (95% CI, -2.5% to -1.2%) at ages ≤44. The SSc-ASMR:non-SSc-ASMR ratio also decreased [cumulative -20%; AAPC -0.3% (95% CI, -1.15% to 0.55%)] in the ≤44-years group. In contrast, those aged ≥65 experienced a steep increase in the SSc-ASMR [cumulative 187.0%; AAPC 2.0% (95% CI, 1.8-2.2)] and the SSc-ASMR:non-SSc-ASMR ratio [cumulative 395.4%; AAPC 3.3% (95% CI, 2.9-3.7)].

conclusionMortality for SSc has steadily decreased at younger ages over the past five decades.

Indexed as

Scleroderma, SystemicDatabases, FactualHumansMortalityRisk Factorsageepidemiologylarge databasemortalitySSc

Identifiers

PMID37216898
PMCPMC10836968
OpenAlexW4377224035

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.